This is the market favourite at 2.28 and with good reason: she's just broken through for a debut win at Uttoxeter 26 days ago after showing readiness with two earlier placed finishes (second and fourth). Only three races in but she's clearly got ability, and she's won as recently as the month before this race—the form is fresh and relevant.
Lightly raced (3 career races)Market favourite (2.28)
Elated has been knocking on the door relentlessly: three straight top-three finishes (a second at Newton Abbot, two thirds), plus five places from six career races overall, means she's barely been out of the frame. No wins yet after six races is frustrating, but she's clearly suited to this level and due—the consistent placing suggests a breakthrough isn't far away.
Fresh (105 days off)Won 1 of last 5Loves this ground (25% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
This horse just broke through for her first win at Kelso 105 days ago, finally delivering after three consecutive fourth-place finishes—a pattern that suggests she's been close to peak form. She's the only course winner in the field and has the best record on normal ground (1 from 4), making her a live contender for an active runner who proved capable just recently.
Take The Boat is the most experienced horse in the field by a distance (24 races versus a field average of six) and has won four times—the best win rate here at roughly 1 in 6. She's also strung together three consecutive top-three finishes, and she's suited to normal and slower ground plus the 2m distance, making her a serious contender despite having no wins with this particular jockey.
Most experienced (24 runs, field avg 6)3 straight top-3 finishesBest career win rate in field (1 in 6)
Sweet Honey B has never won from five races and hasn't run on normal ground before, making this a genuine unknown from a fitness perspective—she's been out 219 days since a poor sixth at Hereford. At eight years old with no wins after limited outings, there's little evidence she'll break through now.
Wearing tongue strapFresh (279 days off)Won 1 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Blue Topaz arrives with a win rate that reads better than the bare form suggests: one win and one place from just three career races means she's finished in the top two in two out of three outings. However, she's returning from a 136-day absence after pulling up last time, which is a significant concern for a horse with so little racing experience to draw on.
Four races without a win or place finish is a blunt record, and the gap between her sixth last month and this class doesn't inspire confidence. She's racing regularly but hasn't shown anything to suggest a breakthrough is imminent—she's a slow burner at best or out of her depth at worst.
Nala has won just once in 17 races, but that win came at Windsor on normal ground only recently, and she's shown consistent placing elsewhere (six places from 17 races). The critical issue: she's never won on standard ground in 11 attempts, making her form here questionable despite recent success on different conditions.
Nine races without a win is a stark reality, and although she's picked up a place, the overall picture is of a seven-year-old who's been tested hard and has underperformed. A 190-day absence after pulling up compounds the question marks—this is a mare that's run out of chances.
Three races without a win is the headline, but a second-place finish at Huntingdon shows she can mix it—the real problem is the eighth and ninth since then suggest form has deteriorated. At 110.0 odds and with a jockey partnership that's barely functional (3 wins from 23), this is a long shot with no obvious reason to back her here.
Fresh (69 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Only one race to go on—a sixth-place finish at Worcester 69 days ago—which means there's almost nothing to assess yet. She raced just yesterday so she's sharp, but a lightly raced horse with such a thin record is essentially a gamble.
Fresh (69 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Only one race under her belt—a tenth at Worcester 69 days ago—so there's almost nothing to work with on a four-year-old finding her feet. She raced yesterday so she's active, but first impressions were poor and the data is too thin to rate her.
Six races without a single placing finish is a grim record: the 3-year-old has finished outside the frame in all six attempts, most recently sixth at Uttoxeter 24 days ago. She's racing regularly but has shown no sign of competitive ability at any stage, making her a hopeless outsider at 100.0.
Three races, zero wins, zero places, and a recent eighth at Uttoxeter (26 days ago) following a pulled-up effort tells a story of a four-year-old struggling to find form or distance. The trainer partnership has firepower elsewhere this season, but Pearl Knot hasn't given them anything to work with yet.
Fresh (420 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
This mare has been absent for 420 days—by far the longest layoff in the field—and that nine-month gap follows two unplaced races at Worcester before her break. Returning from that kind of absence with zero form figures is a massive red flag, and the odds of 450.0 reflect the reality: she's a rough, unknown quantity.
Lightly raced (2 career races)Absent 420 days (longest in field)
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.