Wolverhampton
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Dine In The Wolverhampton Horizons Restaurant Fillies' Handicap
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All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Super Value
TrackLab Insight
Identified as the main danger to Magna, but her recent form makes that hard to justify on paper — last 11 out of 11 at Newmarket was a brutal run, and she hasn't finished in the top three in any of her last six races. Her two career wins show the ability is there somewhere, but it has been well hidden lately. The cheekpieces are presumably an attempt to unlock it.
Mid-range in the market (10.0)
TrackLab Insight
If anything can beat Magna, this is the most logical candidate: five wins from 11 races at Wolverhampton is a remarkable course record, and she has won over this exact course and distance before. She also has the best overall win rate in the field, winning roughly one in three races in her career. The low draw in stall one adds another advantage at a course where low draws perform best.
Course specialist (5 wins from 11 here)
Has won over this course and distance
Best record at this trip (2 from 4)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 3)
TrackLab Insight
The clear favourite and the one to beat: three wins in a row, two of them right here at Wolverhampton, and a record on normal conditions that reads four wins from nine races — by far the best ground record in the field. She is drawn in stall two, which benefits from the low-draw advantage at this course and distance. In short, she ticks nearly every box for this race.
Course specialist (2 wins from 4 here)
Best record on this ground (4 from 9)
3 straight top-3 finishes
Market favourite (2.88)
TrackLab Insight
A fairly straightforward profile here — two wins from 12 races, most recently a win at Catterick 40 days ago, followed by a sixth-place finish back there last time out. There's no obvious course form to point to and her strengths are listed over distances shorter than today's five furlongs, which doesn't help her case. Mid-market price of 5.8 feels a touch generous given what's against her.
Among the more experienced (12 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Like Little Jaybee, she is one of the few horses in the field who has actually won at Wolverhampton — so she knows how to handle this track. The problem is she has gone fifth twice since that win, and the high draw in stall nine is the worst possible position according to the course bias data. The jockey has yet to win in six rides for this trainer, which doesn't help confidence either.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
TrackLab Insight
She has won over this course and distance before, which is one genuine positive, but her last three runs have all been finishes of eighth or ninth — beaten seven lengths or more each time. Drawn in stall eight, where the data shows high draws win less than half as often as low ones at this course. Hard to make a strong case for her here.
Has won over this course and distance
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field by a wide margin — 53 races to the field average of 15 — but that experience comes with a warning: she has never won in 10 attempts at Wolverhampton, and her last three runs have all been below-par finishes. Despite carrying one of the higher ratings in the race, the market has completely written her off. Hard to argue with that verdict given her record on this surface.
Most experienced (53 runs, field avg 15)
Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
TrackLab Insight
The most exposed weakness in the field: rated 14 pounds below the field average — a significant gap in a race like this — and the only horse here who has never won a race in seven attempts. She has also never raced on normal conditions before, which adds another unknown. At odds of 36.0, the market has assessed her chances accurately.
Lowest rated, 14lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
Never raced on normal ground
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How do odds work?
The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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