Warwick

The market favourite and the editorial's top pick — still yet to win in four career races, but that neck defeat at Ascot last time out was an eye-catching effort against stronger competition than this. He is also the joint highest-rated horse in the field, suggesting the official assessors think he is better than most of his rivals on paper. At just four years old, he is the youngest horse here by a year, and there is a clear sense that his best is still ahead of him.

The editorial picks this as the second-best chance in the race, and it is the youngest horse in the field at just five years old — still learning the game. Won at Plumpton 44 days ago and has shown a strong record over this sort of distance, winning roughly two in every three races at two miles or under. Only seven races into his career, so there is still plenty unknown about him, but he arrives with recent form behind him.

Ran a respectable third at Haydock 35 days ago, which at least shows she is ticking over and not arriving completely cold. The jockey-trainer combination has only won once together from 11 races, which is a modest return and worth noting. No standout data points make her compelling for this specific race — she sits in the middle of the market and the middle of the arguments.

The longest absence in the field at 179 days means this horse arrives cold, which is a real concern at any level. His record of three wins from 30 races is modest, and he has never won on either soft or normal conditions — so the ground here offers him no obvious advantage. Hard to make a strong case without more evidence of recent fitness.