Southwell
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Starts in
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All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
TrackLab Insight
The editorial pick has strong form credentials: just broke through for her first win at Windsor last week after a six-race drought, and she's been second and fourth in recent runs at Newbury too. She's rated top or joint-top of the field and there's real momentum here — she clearly likes 1m3f–1m4f distances and her trainer Tom Ward has a solid record. The only uncertainty is she's never raced on normal ground before, so this surface is completely unknown territory.
Never raced on normal ground
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite (3.25 odds) is a three-year-old filly with an outstanding record: 1 win and 4 places from just 5 races means she's hit the podium in every single outing. She's won on normal ground and suits the 1m6f–2m distance bracket — exactly what this race offers. Her only worry is that last run was just 13 days ago at Wolverhampton where she ran second, so she's coming here at short notice, though her consistency is genuinely rare.
Best record on this ground (1 from 4)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 5)
Market favourite (3.25)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Six races in and still searching for that elusive first win, though there's a glimmer of hope: he was placed second in 2 of his last 3 races, including a third at Southwell 89 days ago. He's shown he can run third and ninth here before, so the track isn't foreign to him. At 0 wins from 6 attempts, the clock is ticking for this three-year-old to break his duck, but the recent trend toward placings suggests something might be clicking.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Three-year-old filly with a solid 20% win rate (1 from 5) who won at Yarmouth just 46 days ago, so she comes here with fresh form and momentum. She's stepping up from Class 5 to this higher level, which is a significant ask, and she's never raced on normal ground before — another unknown. She excels at 1m3f–1m4f distances, though this 1m6f stretches her ideal range.
Steps up 2 classes
Never raced on normal ground
TrackLab Insight
Lightly raced three-year-old with just 3 career races and still searching for his first win — he's shown he can run second but has finished fifth and ninth either side. He's over seven weeks without a race and has never seen normal ground, making this a genuine experiment. Data is thin and the form line doesn't inspire confidence, though that Salisbury second shows he's capable of being competitive.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (3 career races)
TrackLab Insight
At nine years old, Further Measure is the most experienced horse in the field with 59 races under his belt, and he's a genuine Southwell specialist with 3 wins from 8 attempts here. He's also won at this exact course and distance, which is powerful form. The concern is he's been out 47 days and struggled in that Kempton run, plus he has a dangerous weakness: he's never won on good ground or soft ground, only when conditions are normal or muddy.
Course specialist (3 wins from 8 here)
Has won over this course and distance
Most experienced (59 runs, field avg 16)
TrackLab Insight
A seven-year-old with a rock-solid career record — 7 wins from 43 races (roughly 1 in 6) — and he's twice won over this exact distance, which is a real edge. His recent form has taken a dip, particularly that 42-day layoff ending in an 11th-place finish at Carlisle, so he may need the race for fitness. The jockey-trainer combination with Sean Kirrane and Tim Easterby has a strong record together, but Marbuzet's form trend is a concern.
Best record at this trip (2 from 13)
TrackLab Insight
Another proven course winner who landed a race here just 67 days ago, and he came agonisingly close to winning again at Doncaster (beaten half a length) before disappointing at Newcastle. The raw win rate is modest (2 from 18), but he's 4 and improving — he excels on standard ground and at shorter distances, though this 1m6f test stretches him a bit. His recent consistency puts him in contention.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated runner in the field and carries the least weight, but that reflects a horse still struggling to find wins — 5 races, 0 victories, just a single placed finish. Over 50 days without a race and never set the world alight in three Class 5 attempts, he looks decidedly outclassed at this level. His recent form (5th–6th–3rd) shows inconsistency and this appears a big step up in difficulty.
Lowest rated, 5lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
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