Salisbury

This is confusing: the data says 'racecourse debut' but also shows a second-place finish at Newmarket 26 days ago, beaten 0.3 lengths—the exact same margin as Miss Miniver. Assuming Thi Qar did race and finished second, he's level with Miss Miniver on exposed form, but by Mehmas (a speed sire) out of Lope De Vega, he's bred to be sharper and faster rather than soft-ground-friendly. Draw 3 is decent (low-range advantage), and the Gosden yard is excellent with Oisin Murphy (41 wins from 138), but soft ground is unknown territory here.

Racecourse debut for a No Nay Never filly with a Frankel mare behind her—decent pedigree suggesting speed and toughness, but nothing to go on yet. Draw 9 is the worst at this track-distance combination (6% win rate), which is a real handicap for an unraced 2-year-old. Colin Keane and Andrew Balding have a solid working relationship (12 wins from 29), but that won't matter if the horse isn't ready.

A racecourse debut with arguably the strongest stable credentials in the field—Ralph Beckett and Rossa Ryan have partnered for 169 wins from 863 races together, a proven operation. Draw 2 is in the low-draw zone which carries a 14% win rate at this course, and that's the best chance any debutant has here. Pedigree (Blackbeard/Kentucky Dynamite) is workmanlike rather than electric, so expect this one to improve with experience.

Racecourse debut for a New Bay filly out of a Lord Kanaloa mare—both sires are known for producing sharp, fast horses, and the pedigree is genuinely classy. Richard Hannon runs one of England's most prolific yards and has a decent record with Dobbs (63 wins from 513), but draw 6 (mid-range, 11% win rate) offers no advantage for an unraced 2-year-old. Too much hope, not enough evidence.