Ripon
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William Hill/MND Association Great St Wilfrid Handicap Stakes
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Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
This 4-year-old has 3 straight top-3 finishes including a near-miss at Ascot (beaten 2.2L just 36 days ago), but there's a glaring red flag: he's won nothing from 5 races at right-handed galloping tracks like Ripon. His lack of experience (13 races total) and zero wins at this track type make him a risky choice despite the recent form sparkle.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Trainer Quotes
Apr 2025
"He showed promise last year when he made a winning debut at Newbury, then found the ground a little too soft when we ran him in a Listed race at Doncaster. He's a big, strong horse and is coming to the boil nicely now. We're looking forward to seeing him again. 17-04-25"
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Fresh off a second-place finish at Ripon just 12 days ago, beaten only 1.8L, and he won this very course 58 days earlier—that's course form you can't ignore. At draw 15 (high draw) he faces a 4% win rate bias here, which is rough, but his recent consistency (3 top-3 finishes in a row) and proven course knowledge make him a live outsider with serious claims.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Trainer Quotes
May 2026
"He can be a bit in and out. He's very talented and might need a bit of headgear to eke out the best in him. He probably wants a stiff 5f or an easy 6f, and I could see him being a Stewards' Cup type. 27-05-26"
Apr 2025
"We liked him a lot last year and he looked good when winning on his return last week. We gelded him and it's probably been the making of him. He's a big, scopey horse and physically he's improved again. He likes top of the ground and there are plenty of races for him at Newmarket, including a three-year-old six-furlong race on Guineas weekend. 14-04-25"
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite has just won at Ripon 12 days ago and is also dropping two classes from his usual level, both strong signals. However, his broader record (4 wins from 23 races, 17% win rate) is underwhelming, and he holds poor form on the ground type this race demands—zero wins from 3 starts on good-to-soft conditions. The recent Ripon win is his headline, but the class drop hasn't translated historically.
Drops 2 classes from usual level
Market favourite (7.0)
Trainer Quotes
Oct 2025
"He's a very good horse who works very well. We've not quite got it right with him as he's been placed a lot of times and it's disappointing he's only won once this year. We've probably got his trip wrong and he can be very keen. He was like that at Newbury last time when he ran a respectable race to finish sixth. He's rated 81 now and I'd like to go for the 0-80 over 7f at York in a couple of weeks. He could also go to Southwell, where they go a right gallop which helps him settle. He'll be a nice horse next year. 01-10-25"
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated by 5lbs and the standout form horse on paper, but there's a critical problem: he hates good ground (1 win from 9 starts) and this race is on normal conditions, playing directly into his weakness. His 15th at Ascot 56 days ago shows he's misfiring when it matters, and though he owns the best record at this distance (6 wins from 20), the ground concern is too big to ignore.
Top rated by 5lbs
Best record at this trip (6 from 20)
Trainer Quotes
Apr 2026
"He showed he's still improving when winning a Listed race at Doncaster last month and stepped up on that when edged out at Newmarket, drawn in the wrong place and finishing very well. He'll be in all the decent sprints this season and I think he'll win a Group 1 - he'll probably go straight to the Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes on the Saturday of Royal Ascot. He's pretty versatile with regard to ground. 21-04-26"
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The editorial pick has momentum on his side: 3 straight top-3 finishes and the best win rate in the field at roughly 1 in 3 races. He's effective on normal ground (4 wins from 6 starts) and just won at Newmarket 42 days ago, showing he's sharp and forward. Only worry is the gap between him and top-rated Aramram on the ratings, though his recent form and consistency make him the most convincing proposition here.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Best career win rate in field (1 in 3)
Trainer Quotes
Sep 2024
"We bought him out of James Tate's stable where he had one run, having previously been with Kevin Ryan. He was a very easy winner of a Pontefract maiden as a two-year-old, after which he was highly tried. He's had only five starts, so he hasn't had much racing at all. We liked his run at Pontefract just before the sales when he was third in a race full of hardened handicappers. He's a big, strong, good-looking horse with a pedigree to suggest he'll train on well. He's been gelded and he'll have plenty of time to come to himself. 26-09-24"
Apr 2024
"He won his maiden well at Pontefract but was probably wanting a break when he disappointed in the Flying Scotsman on his next start. He's ready to start off as soon as we get some nice ground, probably over 6f. We like him a lot and we'll see how far he can progress this season. 04-04-24"
TrackLab Insight
A talented 3-year-old with just 5 races and 3 straight top-3 finishes, including a win at York 21 days ago—the form screams ability and freshness. His 20% win rate and strong trainer partnership (2 wins from 4 races together) suggest genuine potential, yet minimal experience at this level and distance on this ground means confidence must be tempered. He's interesting but unproven at this grade.
3 straight top-3 finishes
TrackLab Insight
Limited data (just 10 races) and inconsistent form—recent runs show 4th, 4th, 11th—suggest he's not sharp enough for this level. His sole strength is one win from 3 starts on normal ground, but that's a thin sample and his overall 20% win rate is below the field average. Lacks the evidence to support backing here.
Best record on this ground (1 from 3)
TrackLab Insight
A course winner here (1 win at Ripon) with 3 wins from 29 races, but that 10% overall win rate tells the real story—he's a reliable also-ran. His last race was a win at York 21 days ago, yet he's struggled badly on right-handed galloping tracks (0 wins from 7), which directly contradicts success at this track type. The data doesn't support the recent York form translating here.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
TrackLab Insight
At just 3 years old, this horse is the youngest in the field and has only raced 10 times—he's still learning. He's dropping two classes and won at York on normal ground (1 win from 3 starts), but a 13th at York 49 days ago shows inconsistency, and limited data means predictions are unreliable. For a handicap race of this quality, inexperience is a real disadvantage.
Drops 2 classes from usual level
TrackLab Insight
Just won at York 21 days ago and has placed in 2 of his last 3 starts, showing sharp recent form, but a 12th at York in his last run (just 3 weeks ago) raises durability questions. His 22% win rate is decent, and he handles normal ground well (2 wins from 6), yet at 5 years old with an inconsistent pattern, he's more of a short-odds punt than a banker.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated horse in the field (84, 6lbs below average) with a 20% win rate, he fits the typical profile of a horse suited by dropping in class—except the data shows he's not sharp. His last three runs are 6th, 12th, 6th, and while he handles good-to-soft ground well (2 wins from 5), normal ground doesn't suit him. Long odds of 48.0 reflect limited claims.
Lowest rated, 6lbs below average
TrackLab Insight
A talented 4-year-old with a solid 29% career win rate, but odds of 27.0 reflect a valid concern: he's won 2 of his last 6 races, yet the most recent (6th at Pontefract 29 days ago) shows a dip in form. The profile notes his love of Beverley, but that doesn't help him here; without recent Ripon-specific evidence, he's a risky longshot despite the ability.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
TrackLab Insight
The only horse in the field with proven course-and-distance form—he won at Ripon twice (September and October 2025)—and carries the lowest weight at 114lbs. However, he's been struggling badly in recent races (8th, 10th, 11th in his last three starts) and hasn't raced in 51 days, suggesting form has abandoned him since those Ripon wins. The draw (1) also faces the low bias (12% win rate), which offers no advantage.
Carries lowest weight in field
Has won over this course and distance
TrackLab Insight
An 8-year-old veteran with 62 races and 11 wins (18% win rate), he's proven he can win at Ripon and has just won at Beverley 26 days ago. However, his 9th at Thirsk (just 14 days ago) is a poor recent effort, and crucially he has zero wins from 4 starts on normal ground—this race's exact condition. Age and lack of ground fit work against him despite the course knowledge.
Has won over this course and distance
Most experienced (62 runs, field avg 23)
TrackLab Insight
A 7-year-old veteran with 49 races and 7 wins (14% win rate), he's proven reliable but hardly exciting; his last run 14 days ago was a 10th at Hamilton. More concerning: he's never won at Ripon in 5 attempts and his recent victory at Ayr came 40 days ago. At odds of 40.0, the market is pricing him correctly as a long shot without the current form to justify a play.
One of the more successful in the field (7 career wins)
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