Ripon

Joint second-favourite in the market and level with Clocker on the ratings (OR 67), but her record shows four races without a win despite two placed finishes—both thirds. Her most recent run was a sixth at Sandown just 23 days ago, and while she's being kept active by her trainer, there's no clear momentum or edge over Clocker, who has already won this season and finished closer more recently.

Top-rated here by 3lbs, but that rating sits awkwardly against a record of three consecutive sixth and seventh-place finishes with no wins or places to her name. Musical Accord has been beaten 8-17 lengths in each of her last three outings and looks out of form, though the low draw (3) offers some statistical comfort at Ripon—the only thing working in her favour is that she gets a small tactical advantage from stall position.

Just broke through with a win at Wolverhampton 16 days ago and carries the lowest weight in the field (124lbs), giving her genuine tactical scope—though critically, she has never raced on normal ground before, only at Wolverhampton and Ffos Las. The win rate is best in the field (1 in 5), but the ground question and lack of experience at this track represent real unknowns against a field with more proven Ripon profiles.

Lowest-rated in the field (OR 59) and hasn't raced in 72 days, which is a significant layoff compared to rivals who are running regularly. Zero wins from five races and a recent record of 7-8-3 shows inconsistency, and at 34.0 odds she looks understandably unfancied—she's the least likely to trouble the front here.