Redcar

The most experienced horse in the field by a wide margin — 35 races compared to a field average of 11 — but that experience hasn't brought much recent joy, with just one top-three finish in her last six outings. She ran only six days ago at Beverley, which is a very quick turnaround, and notably has never won on the normal ground she'll face today. At 9/1 having drifted from a much shorter price, the market isn't convinced.

Only three career races in, Fanciulla Del West is one of the least experienced horses in this field, and like Myrrh, has never run on normal ground before — so today is an unknown quantity in that sense. Her form has been gradually improving (fourth, then third, then second), which is an encouraging shape for a lightly raced horse. A 10-length defeat last time out at Yarmouth does take some explaining, however.

Myrrh is the top-rated horse in the field, carrying an official rating 5lbs above average, and has a tidy record of finishing in the top three in every single one of her four career races. The key unknown is that she has never raced on normal ground — all her form comes on different conditions — so today represents a fresh test. The jockey-trainer pairing of Oisin Orr and David O'Meara has yet to win together in 18 attempts, which is a minor flag.

The editorial pick for this race, and the reasoning is about potential rather than form — the view is that her fourth-place finish at Newcastle last month was better than it looked on paper, and that her opening handicap rating could prove to be a generous one. She has no wins from three races, but this is only her second run in a handicap, and lightly raced horses like Clocker can improve sharply once the assessor gets a first look at them. One to take seriously despite modest figures on the page.