The market favourite at 4.6, the editorial verdict backs this horse to go one better than its second-place finish here at Perth 19 days ago — the same course, the same distance, and clearly in a decent vein of form. Still winless from 11 races, but two placed efforts in the last month suggest the best is coming at the right time, and running off the lowest-ish weights in the top half of the market gives it an edge over the higher-rated rivals.
Three races, no wins, no placed finishes — Betteryouthanme is one of the least exposed horses in this field but for the wrong reasons so far. Beaten over 20 lengths in each of its last three runs, the jockey-trainer combination has also failed to win together in six attempts, so there is not much in the data to hang hope on here.
Won at this course & distanceQuick turnaroundWon 0 of last 5Won here 4 timesHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced runner in the field by a distance — 61 races compared to a field average of 18 — and the only horse in this race with a proven winning record at Perth, where four of its six career wins have come. The big concern is that it races again after just four days, and its record on normal ground shows zero wins from 13 attempts on similar conditions.
Has won over this course and distanceMost experienced (61 runs, field avg 18)Runs again after just 4 days
J. Thompson(3)
·
M. Hammond
· 5yo
· 12st 0lb
· OR 97
HeadgearForm
13
Good Value
Wearing tongue strapWon 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated in this field by 3lbs, Livano Bello has been maddeningly consistent without ever winning — six top-three finishes from eleven races and still no victory to show for it. Two solid placed efforts in the past two months suggest the form is genuine, but those odds drifting sharply from near-evens to 6/1 tells you punters have serious doubts about whether today is the day it finally breaks the streak.
L. Saunders(3)
·
O. Murphy
· 5yo
· 10st 11lb
· OR 80
HeadgearFreshness
11
Good Value
Wearing cheekpiecesFresh (83 days off)Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
The editorial flags this five-year-old as a horse with potentially more to offer, and there is one genuinely interesting angle: it has never raced on normal ground before, having run only on faster or more extreme surfaces. That unknown factor cuts both ways, but with wind surgery in its history, four races into its career, and a trainer-jockey combination that wins roughly 1 in 5 races together, there is at least a credible case for improvement.
G. Walkingshaw(7)
·
S. Thomson
· 9yo
· 11st 11lb
· OR 94
HeadgearForm
9.5
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this groundWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Second-highest rated in the field, this nine-year-old has only won twice from 25 races but keeps plugging away honestly with seven placed finishes along the way. A fifth and a fourth in the last two runs suggest she is competitive right now, though her record on normal ground is not listed as a strength and she has never won on a left-handed undulating track — which is worth bearing in mind.
Wearing visorWon 2 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
This horse has the best career win rate in the field — winning roughly 1 in every 6 races — and crucially has the best record at today's trip of 2m 4f, with two wins from twelve attempts at that distance. A win at Musselburgh 87 days ago shows the ability is still there, though a 27-length fourth here at Perth just 20 days ago is a concern heading back to the same track so quickly.
Best record at this trip (2 from 12)Best career win rate in field (1 in 6)
The least experienced horse in the field with just seven races under its belt, Jack Dempsey has only one placed finish to its name and was beaten 24 lengths here at Perth 19 days ago. With two unseated rider incidents in its recent history and no wins yet, the data offers little encouragement that today will bring a breakthrough.
Wearing cheekpiecesFresh (109 days off)Won 0 of last 5Won here 2 timesHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Easily the most striking course record in the field — two wins from just four visits to Perth means this ten-year-old has won half its races at this track, a remarkable hit rate compared to any rival here. The worry is a 109-day absence and some very poor recent form, including a 38-length fourth last time out, so it needs to bounce back sharply to make those Perth figures count.
Course specialist (2 wins from 4 here)Best record on this ground (2 from 12)
L. Noreci(7)
·
J. McGregor
· 8yo
· 10st 3lb
· OR 72
FreshnessForm
0.1
Fresh (238 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated horse in the field by 13lbs, Ivynator carries the lightest weight but returns from a 238-day absence — the longest layoff of any runner here — with two pulled-up efforts among its last three races. One win from 24 career races and zero wins from 16 outings on normal ground makes this a very difficult horse to fancy on the data available.
Lowest rated, 13lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in fieldAbsent 238 days (longest in field)
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.