Nottingham

Back in action just four days after finishing second here, Theme Park has the sharpest recent form in the field and boasts a proven track record on dry ground (3 wins from 12 starts). However, the quick turnaround and his modest 12% career win rate suggest this is a horse who needs everything in his favour — and even then, doesn't always deliver.

The editorial pick and most experienced runner (39 races), Straight A has won on standard ground before but arrives here on the back of four consecutive non-wins, including two fourths at Doncaster. His rating edges him above the field, but recent form offers no compelling evidence that today is the day he breaks that losing run.

Winless from seven races but placed in two of the last three, this 4-year-old has come close without crossing the line — and faces a step up in class here to trouble the top two. With zero wins to his name and limited racecourse experience, he represents the kind of "danger" the editorial warns about rather than a genuine contender.

Carrying the lightest weight and rated 12 pounds below the field average, this 4-year-old boasts the best win rate here (1 in 6 races) and has won before at this distance. However, a 76-day absence and a brutal 12th-place defeat at this course last time out raise serious questions about fitness and readiness to bounce back.