Newton Abbot
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Aubrey Loze Memorial Handicap Hurdle Race (GBB Race)
Starts in
Awaiting result
Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
TrackLab Insight
This five-year-old just raced yesterday and won at this very track 80 days ago, so he knows the course and is race-fit, but he's dropping three classes from his usual level and has since run fourth twice. He wins roughly 1 in 5 races overall and copes well with soft ground, yet he needs the favourite to stumble and Soul Icon to underperform—he's a serious outsider at 6.0.
Drops 3 classes from usual level
TrackLab Insight
Carries the lowest weight in the field and boasts a 33% career win rate across just 12 races—genuinely impressive form on paper—but she's shipped 30 lengths in her last outing and hasn't won since Perth 121 days ago. This is her first run with Sean Bowen despite her strong record with other the yard, making her a wild card with limited data on this partnership.
Carries lowest weight in field
TrackLab Insight
The standout here is that he won this exact course just 87 days ago—the only course winner in the field besides Kitty Foyle—and runs in blinkers for a trainer who's won 18 from 65 with this jockey. But he's been fifth in his last outing and hasn't won on soft ground in six attempts, so he needs the current normal conditions to hold and won't have the rating advantage to dominate.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
Trainer Quotes
Feb 2025
"Won a qualifier at Newbury, and the owners would love to see him run at Cheltenham were he to squeeze in at the bottom of the weights. 18-2-25"
Feb 2023
"He showed a lot of promise in his two bumpers, finishing second on each occasion. He was more successful over hurdles, winning back-to-back novices at Chepstow and Taunton in November. He has run well without winning since but found the easing ground after those successes to be against him. He will be out when we get better going underfoot and I think there is more to come. He is in good order presently and I am looking forward to getting him out again. 22-02-23"
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
At 10 years old, he's the oldest horse here but comes with three straight top-3 finishes including wins at Bangor and Newton Abbot within the last 87 days—solid current form and a proven partnership with Harry Skelton (40% win rate together). He's the lowest-rated runner, but he's 0 from 3 on anything softer than good ground, so he's betting on the surface staying firm.
Lowest rated, 5lbs below average
3 straight top-3 finishes
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 5.1 has earned it with a 57% win rate (4 wins from 7 races), the best in the field, and crucially has won 3 from 4 on today's ground conditions. The alarm bell: he hasn't raced in 265 days and is returning from over 8 months out—that's a massive layoff for any horse, no matter how good the form book looks.
Best record on this ground (3 from 4)
Absent 411 days (longest in field)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 2)
Market favourite (5.1)
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated by a margin over this field and built to handle the stamina test of 2m 6f, but this is a major concern: he's won 8 from 17 on good ground yet hasn't won a single race on anything softer, and Newton Abbot's turf can be deceptive. He also struggles on left-handed galloping tracks and hasn't won outside Fontwell Park in his last 27 races combined—this is an unfamiliar course where he needs to prove he can deliver at the ratings.
Top rated by 9lbs
TrackLab Insight
She won here before and sits as one of two course winners, but her form reads inconsistent: 14% career win rate across 29 races and she's finished ninth in her last outing. More troubling is she's failed to win on anything other than good ground—she's 0 from 5 on good-to-soft, 0 from 5 on good-to-firm, and 0 from 3 on standard-to-slow, making her vulnerable if conditions shift.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
TrackLab Insight
Massively unfancied at 26.0 odds despite his rating, but the form is genuinely poor: pulled up three weeks ago and beaten 34 lengths on each of his last two outings. He's won just 3 from 14 races and won't beat Soul Icon's rating edge unless he runs to a career-best—the market drift makes sense here.
Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
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