Wearing hoodFresh (198 days off)Won 1 of last 5Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Rated ten pounds below the field average and carrying the lowest weight, this four-year-old has just one win in 13 races and hasn't raced in 198 days. His lone victory came at Market Rasen in December, yet he's shown no ability on good or soft ground—and that's what he faces today—making him the outsider's outsider despite the generous handicap mark.
Lowest rated, 10lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in field
Won at this course & distanceWon 2 of last 5Won here 2 timesLoves this ground (29% win rate)Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite arrives fresh off a Newton Abbot win just this week, and he's now won two of his last three starts—both here. This four-year-old has figured out the course and distance formula, winning two from three races at Devon, though he's still raw at 17 career races and has never won on good-to-soft ground (0 from 4).
Has won over this course and distance3 straight top-3 finishesMarket favourite (2.75)
Trainer Quotes
Sep 2025
"A nice horse we're just getting to know. While 6f on soft ground will be ideal, I don't think he's a proper sprinter. He's giving the impression in his work that he'll probably stay 7f or even a mile. His first run for us on the all-weather told us that. Hopefully he can pick up a nice prize in the back end. He's ground dependent and if it turned up soft at the Western meeting next week we'd take our chance there, even back at 6f. 10-09-25"
Won at this course & distanceWearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Won here 3 timesLoves this ground (35% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
The real standout: wins roughly one race in three, has already beaten this field at Newton Abbot, and holds a devastating 50% win rate here—three wins from six starts. She's the only runner to have won over today's course and distance, though she hasn't visited the winner's circle in ten months and recent form (5th, 4th, 4th) is sluggish.
Course specialist (3 wins from 6 here)Has won over this course and distanceBest record on this ground (7 from 20)Most experienced (37 runs, field avg 16)
Wearing tongue strapFresh (146 days off)Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Just five career races and still chasing his first win, this four-year-old pulled at Market Rasen 35 days ago and has run fresh off a six-month break. Ben Pauling's yard is firing this season, but there's very little form to go on—you're essentially backing a trainer's faith here rather than the horse's evidence.
Relatively inexperienced (5 career races)
Trainer Quotes
Nov 2025
"He won his only start at Moulin and I think he'll be a proper juvenile type. We didn't learn too much from his run at Ludlow as he was a bit gassy and went a gear quick early doors. He paid the price at the end of the race, I think with that run under his belt he'll be taking closer order next time. 07-11-25"
R. McLernon
·
J. & A.J. O'Neill
· 6yo
· 11st 11lb
· OR 115
FreshnessForm
10
Fresh (239 days off)Won 0 of last 5Loves this ground (33% win rate)Won at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
The editorial's second choice boasts the best win rate in the field at 27% and has won two of three races over this exact trip—but he's been absent for 239 days, longest by far, and his last five runs read as desperate (5th beaten 32.8L, 5th beaten 36.2L). Richie McLernon rides him with a 38% win rate together, which offers hope, yet the layoff is a real concern.
Best record at this trip (2 from 3)Absent 239 days (longest in field)Best career win rate in field (1 in 4)
Dropping in classWearing hoodWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
The editorial favourite sits nine pounds clear on the ratings, but the market is screaming a warning: odds drifted from 1.04 to 26.0, and his last two runs (10th at Market Rasen, 5th here) suggest he's struggling right now. His sole career win came as a shock to his own trainer, yet he's stepping up two classes on a course where he's already failed to impress this season—high risk for the selection despite the paper edge.
Steps up 2 classesUnfancied in the market despite a high rating
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.