Newbury
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Swings & Smiles Supported By Ap&c Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)
Starts in
Awaiting result
Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite is on a genuine upward curve with three consecutive top-three finishes, including wins at Salisbury and near-misses at Goodwood and Ascot. He's only a pound below the top-rated horses despite inferior ratings, suggesting bookmakers and the betting public see something the handicapper might have underrated. His one weakness is soft ground, but he'll relish the fast, firm conditions here.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Market favourite (3.3)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The only proven course winner here — he's won at Newbury before and has his best record over this mile-and-a-half trip — but he's also the most used horse in the field with 30 career races and a modest 13% win rate. He ran yesterday at York finishing third, which raises real questions about his freshness, and the data shows he struggles on right-handed galloping tracks, a concern at a track like Newbury.
Only course winner (1 from 3 here)
Has won over this course and distance
Best record at this trip (3 from 16)
Most experienced (30 runs, field avg 15)
Trainer Quotes
Apr 2025
"A lovely big, strong colt who's very honest and has lots of ability up to a mile and a half. He's had a nice break and will be campaigned in decent handicaps. He'll have his days in the sun. 22-04-25"
TrackLab Insight
Fresh off a win at Catterick just three weeks ago, Explode is the second-highest rated in the field but comes with mixed signals — he won that race well, yet struggled badly at Windsor beforehand and has only two wins from eleven total outings. He loves good-to-soft ground and distances around the mile-to-mile-and-a-quarter range, but this fast, firm surface and extra distance both sit outside his comfort zone.
2nd highest rated (OR 85)
TrackLab Insight
Tryfan boasts the best win rate in the field at 1 in 5 races and, crucially, is the only horse with a strong record on this exact ground — two wins from five runs on good-to-firm surfaces. He won at Ascot just five weeks ago and looks sharp; however, he's vulnerable to horses that suit soft or standard ground, and his recent form outside that one Ascot success shows inconsistency.
Best record on this ground (2 from 5)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 5)
Trainer Quotes
Apr 2024
"He's probably the best three-year-old we've got in the yard. He's really good and works very well and I'll be disappointed if he doesn't get rated in the 90s. He ran once last year when he finished third at Newcastle. We've had issues with the stalls with him as he's a big horse and he gave away six lengths at the start at Newcastle but was only beaten three lengths. The winner won again, so the form is all right. He's improved loads since last year. He's ready to go. 03-04-24"
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
This is a complete unknown — a four-year-old filly making her racecourse debut under Sir Mark Prescott, one of Britain's most decorated trainers. The pedigree through Pinatubo suggests speed rather than distance aptitude, which raises questions about suitability for a mile-and-a-half trip on fast ground. Without a single race under her belt, she's effectively a lottery ticket in a field where most rivals have proven form.
Racecourse debut
TrackLab Insight
Nicator has gone six races without a win despite finishing in the frame in half of them — he came within 0.1 lengths of success at Yarmouth but couldn't close that final gap. He's the lowest-rated runner and carries the least weight, but he's also the most out-of-form, having managed only a distant seventh at York five weeks ago and showing no recent momentum to suggest this is where he breaks his duck.
Lowest rated, 6lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
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The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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