Won 1 of last 5Loves this ground (40% win rate)Won at this distance 3 times
TrackLab Insight
Kinswoman is the market favourite at 5.0 and holds the best records at this trip (3 wins from 4 races) and on this ground (2 wins from 5). However, her last three runs have all been outs, with an eighth-place finish at York 36 days ago, suggesting she may have lost her edge despite the favourable statistics.
Best record on this ground (2 from 5)Best record at this trip (3 from 4)Market favourite (5.0)
Won at this course & distanceWearing visorWon 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Rhythm N Hooves is the only course winner in this field (1 from 1 at Newbury) and the most experienced with 50 races behind him—a real edge at this level. However, he has zero wins on good-to-firm ground from 9 attempts and finished eighth at both Ascot and Newmarket in his last two runs, suggesting his Newbury win was an outlier rather than a trend.
Only course winner (1 from 1 here)Has won over this course and distanceMost experienced (50 runs, field avg 26)
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeLoves this ground (29% win rate)Won at this distance 9 times
TrackLab Insight
Glamorous Breeze is second-highest rated and ran a solid third at Goodwood just 18 days ago, suggesting she's in decent order. Her steady record of 9 wins from 44 races (roughly 1 in 5) keeps her competitive, but she has never won at Ascot and lacks any wins on good-to-soft ground—limiting her upside if conditions tighten further.
Won 2 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
River Spey won at Windsor 75 days ago but finished seventh at Goodwood just 16 days ago, indicating a dip in form. The three-year-old has won 2 of 10 races overall and lacks any obvious strength that makes him stand out in this competitive field.
Won 1 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Wheels Of Fire won at Sandown just 17 days ago and has picked up two wins from his last six races, a clear upturn in form for the four-year-old. However, he has zero wins from six attempts on this exact fast, dry ground and struggles on both galloping and undulating tracks—red flags for Newbury's right-handed layout.
Mid-range in the market (17.5)
Trainer Quotes
Apr 2026
"The handicapper put him up 8lb for winning at Musselburgh, which I thought at the time was an overreaction to form on soft ground that he handles a lot better than most. The fact he was sent off at 14-1 at Newbury last week suggests everybody else knows his new mark is wrong, and that was how the race panned out. We'll have to look at big handicaps - perhaps he'll be better over five furlongs, because he's got loads of speed - but it will be tough for him. 21-04-26"
Hypnotised has never raced on dry ground in his five-race career and finished second at Sandown 17 days ago, but his overall record of 1 win from 5 races is thin. The three-year-old is inexperienced in this company and the ground represents a real unknown.
Ziggy's Triton won at York 36 days ago and has the standout strength of a 67% win rate on good-to-firm ground (2 from 3 starts)—perfectly suited to today's conditions. At 20% odds, he offers value for a horse whose progressive profile and ground preference align neatly with what this race is asking of him.
Won 0 of last 5Raced here beforeLoves this ground (33% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
Hucklesbrook won a Class 2 race at York in June and has a decent 33% win rate on good-to-firm ground (2 from 6 starts), but he finished tenth at Windsor just 19 days ago and is pairing with a new jockey for the first time. The data is thin on his consistency, and his long-term form suggests he's hit-and-miss.
Wearing cheekpiecesFresh (70 days off)Won 1 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Major Neigh Sayer has never raced on dry, fast ground in his six-race career and has been off since running fourth at Musselburgh 70 days ago—a major concern for a three-year-old stepping into this level without the relevant experience. His record of 1 win from 6 races offers little confidence.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 1 of last 5Loves this ground (31% win rate)Won at this distance 6 times
TrackLab Insight
Regal Envoy has the best career win rate in this field at roughly 1 in every 3 races, but his recent form is inconsistent—two wins mixed with three outs in his last six races, including a 12th place just 18 days ago. He's proven at Windsor and Bath but struggles on galloping tracks, and this fast, dry ground at Newbury may not suit him as well as his favoured circuits.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 4)Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 1 of last 5Won at this distance 5 times
TrackLab Insight
The Thames Boatman has finished second twice in his last three runs and holds 8 career wins from 50 races—solid consistency rather than sparkling form. However, he has zero wins on good-to-firm ground from 9 attempts, a critical weakness given today's fast surface, and this appears to be a poor match.
One of the more successful in the field (8 career wins)
Kanishka is the lowest-rated horse in the field and carries the lowest weight—but he has won just once in 13 races and finished 16th at Goodwood 17 days ago. With zero wins on good-to-firm ground from 5 attempts and data showing him struggling at this class level, he is a clear outsider.
Lowest rated, 10lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in field
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.