Won 2 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 3 times
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite, and the career numbers justify the respect — winning 3 from just 8 races is the best win rate in the field, and it has finished in the top two in each of its last two races. The catch is that it finished second to today's rival Mirabeau here at Newbury 29 days ago, and has to reverse that form at the same track and distance.
Best record at this trip (3 from 6)Best career win rate in field (1 in 3)Market favourite (6.5)
Won 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeLoves this ground (25% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
The editorial verdict makes this the selection, and the case is straightforward: Mirabeau won here at Newbury just 29 days ago, making it one of the very few course winners in this field, and it beat today's rival Addison Grey into second place that day. The odds have drifted from 4.6 to 9.6, which gives some pause, but the course form is a significant edge over most of these rivals.
Won at this course & distanceWearing tongue strapFresh (91 days off)Won 0 of last 5Won here 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The standout fact here is that Wiltshire has already won over this exact course and distance, making it one of the few in this field who can say that. However, it has not raced for 91 days and arrives on the back of three consecutive defeats, and the odds drifting from 5s to over 9s suggests the market is not convinced the break has done it much good.
Fresh (120 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 3 times
TrackLab Insight
This four-year-old has never actually raced on normal ground — every one of its wins has come on artificial surfaces — which makes today a genuine unknown. It has won 3 from 10 races overall, a decent return, but the 120-day absence and the unfamiliar ground conditions are real questions this horse has to answer for the first time.
There is a Class 1 win at York on this horse's record from 2023, which tells you it once had the ability to beat the best in the country. The trouble is that was two years ago, and since then it has won just once more from 22 races, with recent form showing nothing better than a fourth. Hard to make a case for it at current odds.
Among the more experienced (22 career races)
Trainer Quotes
May 2026
"He's a nice horse who we inherited from Andrew Balding. He was a useful horse for him last year in top-notch handicaps (fourth in the Ayr Gold Cup). He has run only once for us, at Pontefract in early April. He missed the break, started late and actually made up a lot of ground, finishing fourth in quite a decent 6f handicap won by Arklow Lad. He ran a belter at Newbury on Saturday, finishing fourth, but he would have been at least placed had he not got hemmed in. If there's any soft in the going description it will enhance his prospects and I think he's got a nice big handicap in him this year. 20-05-26"
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 1 of last 5Won at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
One of the least experienced horses in the field with just eight races, trained by William Haggas who also saddles Wiltshire today. The most recent run was a heavy defeat at Newmarket, beaten over 11 lengths, and the draw in stall 15 — the widest draw in the field — is the worst possible position at this course and distance where high draws win at just a 6% rate.
Won 3 of last 5Loves this ground (50% win rate)Won at this distance 3 times
TrackLab Insight
Far Above Dream arrives here with the best record on today's normal ground in the entire field — three wins from six races on similar conditions, a 50% success rate. Back-to-back wins at Goodwood confirm it is in the form of its life right now, though this is a different track and a step up in class, so the Goodwood wins are not a straight guide to what happens here.
Won 1 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this groundWon at this distance 7 times
TrackLab Insight
A seven-year-old with eight career wins, including two at the highest level at Ascot — that is a genuinely impressive record for a horse from a small yard. The problem is the last two runs have been poor, and the odds have drifted sharply from 10s out to 18s, suggesting the market has gone cold on this one. Today's normal ground is also a concern: this horse has won just once from 11 races on similar conditions.
One of the more successful in the field (8 career wins)
Won 1 of last 5Loves this ground (29% win rate)Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Yes I'm Mali carries the lightest weight in the field and is rated 13lbs below the field average — the biggest gap of any runner — which means it faces a steep class challenge against rivals rated significantly higher. It did win last time out at Thirsk, which is a positive, but stepping up to face this level of opposition for the first time makes this a tough ask.
Lowest rated, 13lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in field
Dark Ace has the joint-best win rate among the more experienced runners in this field — five wins from 15 races — and arrives on the back of back-to-back victories at Lingfield and Wolverhampton. The question is whether those wins on artificial surfaces translate to normal ground at Newbury, and the odds drifting heavily from 8s to 22s implies the market has real doubts about the switch.
One of the more successful in the field (5 career wins)
Wearing blinkersWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
An eight-year-old who ran second last time out at Newcastle, beaten just a length, which is its best piece of form in a while. The concern is a significant market drift from 7s out to 20s, which is a red flag, and this horse has never won on normal ground in three attempts — today's conditions are not what it wants.
One of the more successful in the field (4 career wins)
The most experienced horse in the field by some distance — 43 races compared to the field average of 20 — but that experience has not translated into wins lately, with three consecutive defeats including a 13th last time out. At 23s having drifted from 10s, the market is not interested, and the recent form gives little reason to disagree.
Wearing blinkersQuick turnaroundWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
Brosay won a Class 2 race at Ascot as recently as September 2025, which is solid recent form at a high level, but has since finished 16th at this very track and 5th at Ascot — both poor. This is also a first-time partnership between jockey and trainer, and odds drifting from 11s out to 34s is one of the biggest market moves in the field today.
One of the more successful in the field (4 career wins)
Quick turnaroundWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this groundWon at this distance 3 times
TrackLab Insight
Desert Cop races again just five days after finishing third at Windsor — that is a quick turnaround, though the third place shows it is at least in decent order. This horse has never won on normal ground in any of its races on similar conditions, which is a concern, and the odds drifting from 12s to 24s suggests the market is not reading too much into the Windsor run.
Wearing hoodFresh (204 days off)Won 1 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 3 times
TrackLab Insight
This horse has not raced for 204 days — the longest absence of anyone in the field — and the last run before that break was an 18th-place finish, beaten over 30 lengths, at this very course. Returning from six months off with that form at this track is a very difficult starting point, and the odds drifting from 17s out to 41s reflects how little confidence there is here.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.