On raw numbers, Lost Boys has the most impressive win record in the field — two wins from four races is a 50% success rate, and he arrives here having won his last two outings in a row. He's drawn in stall two, right in the sweet spot of the low-draw advantage at this course and distance. The one note of caution: his jockey has yet to win a race from 17 attempts with this trainer, though the horse's current form makes him hard to ignore.
One of the more successful in the field (2 career wins)
Stepping up in classWon 1 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
He ran just 13 days ago at Newmarket and finished second, so he arrives here fresher in form than most rivals — that's a useful boost for a horse with only three races under his belt. Both he and My Love Is King are described as dropping three classes from their usual level, which sounds like a big advantage but may simply reflect that lightly raced three-year-olds are hard to place. His high draw in stall 11 is a mild concern at this track.
Drops 3 classes from usual levelLightly raced (3 career races)
Trainer Quotes
Apr 2026
"A winner on his only start last season, he worked very nicely at Newbury before last week's reappearance and he really backed that up on the track, keeping on well in a close-up fifth in what looked a hot race. He's got loads of ability and will come on plenty for that experience. 21-04-26"
The form horse in the field — he's won his last two races back-to-back, at Southwell and Doncaster, and has placed in three of his four most recent runs. He wears blinkers, which have clearly helped sharpen his focus, and he's drawn in stall five which puts him in the favoured low-draw bracket. The only question is whether that momentum translates against rivals rated higher than those he's been beating.
3 straight top-3 finishesBest career win rate in field (1 in 4)
Stepping up in classQuick turnaroundWon 1 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Joint-lowest rated alongside Pearl River, sitting ten points below the field average, but he won at Ascot just seven days ago and comes here on the back of three consecutive top-three finishes. Racing again so quickly after a win is bold, but it also means he arrives in the form of his life — and a low draw in stall four plays right into the course's bias. He's dropping two classes from his usual level, which could give him an edge if the quick turnaround hasn't taken the edge off him.
Lowest rated, 10lbs below averageDrops 2 classes from usual level3 straight top-3 finishesRuns again after just 7 days
Wearing cheekpiecesFresh (210 days off)Won 1 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
The second-highest rated horse in the field and ridden by Ryan Moore, who teams up with this trainer at a rate of roughly one win in every three races together — one of the most formidable partnerships in the sport. The big concern is that he hasn't raced in 210 days, and he'll be wearing cheekpieces for the first time to sharpen his focus on return. He's drawn in the middle of the field, which is less ideal than a low draw at this course and distance.
2nd highest rated (OR 103)
Trainer Quotes
Mar 2026
"He won a mile maiden at Punchestown last year and had some good runs after that. He went well at the Curragh on Sunday and looks like a horse who will stay a mile and a quarter. He'll go to a Classic trial. We're very happy with him. 31-03-26"
This horse has been shortening in the market and is drawn in stall six, which sits in the favoured low-draw bracket at Newbury over this distance. The concern is his last run — he finished fifth, beaten nearly ten lengths at Sandown — which is a step back from the Class 1 race he was competitive in before that. He's had four races and only one win, so he needs to find improvement here to justify the market confidence.
Fresh (239 days off)Won 1 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
The editorial verdict makes this horse the one to beat, and the case is built on a rock-solid record — placed in all three career races, including a second at this very course last season. The catch is significant: he's been off the track for 239 days, the longest absence in the entire field, and he has never raced on normal ground before. If the trainer has him ready, he's clearly the one who knows Newbury best.
Never raced on normal groundLightly raced (3 career races)Absent 239 days (longest in field)
Won 1 of last 5Raced here beforeLoves this ground (40% win rate)Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The top-rated horse in the field by some margin, carrying an official rating 11 points above the field average, but that advantage comes with questions — he hasn't won in over 200 days. What does stand out is his record on normal ground: two wins from five races in these conditions, the best ground record in the field. William Buick is a top-level jockey, though he and this trainer have yet to click together from four attempts.
He has the most favourable draw in the field — stall one — which is a genuine advantage at Newbury over this trip based on the track's history. The problem is a poor record on normal ground: zero wins from four races in these conditions, and both of his career victories came on the all-weather surface at Southwell. The odds drifting from 23 to 26 suggests the market isn't convinced he can translate that form to today's surface.
Won 1 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated horse in the field — ten points below the average official rating — and he arrives here after being beaten nearly 14 lengths at Epsom last time out. He carries the lightest weight of any runner, which is the one thing in his favour, but a record of zero wins from three races on normal ground is a real concern for today's conditions. It's hard to make a case for him against this opposition.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.