The market favourite at 2.5 and boasts the best win rate in the field (1 in 4, 25% from 8 races), but the red flags are serious: absent 338 days (longest lay-off in the race), unseated at Galway just 21 days ago, and has never raced on normal ground—today's conditions are completely unknown for this horse.
Never raced on normal groundAbsent 338 days (longest in field)Best career win rate in field (1 in 4)Market favourite (2.5)
T. O'Connor(7)
·
G. O'Leary
· 6yo
· 11st 12lb
· OR 116
FormGround
17
Good Value
Won 0 of last 5Has won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated by 21lbs and the most experienced horse in the field (22 races), but that's where the good news ends—3 wins from 22 races works out to roughly 1 win every 7 attempts, and recent form is uninspiring (2nd last time but 12th and unraced before that). He's a well-travelled campaigner without the class to trouble the best here.
Top rated by 21lbsMost experienced (22 runs, field avg 6)
Two races without a win but came desperately close—second by just 0.3L at Roscommon 47 days ago before fading to sixth at the same track 18 days later. Shows enough competitive form to suggest a breakthrough is possible, though the recent fade is a concern.
Lightly raced with just two runs under his belt but the standout here is the winning form—broke through at Ballinrobe just 32 days ago after an earlier ninth-place finish. A horse with genuine momentum and a 50% win rate, though the sample size is tiny and he'll face far stiffer opposition here.
Won 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The only course winner in the field (1 from 1 at Killarney, 40 days ago), and that recent victory came after 15 races without success—this is a horse that finally worked out where to win. However, 6% career win rate (1 from 16) tells you he's far from reliable, and he struggles on left-handed tracks, which Killarney is.
Only course winner (1 from 1 here)Best record on this ground (1 from 8)
One of only two horses in the field with multiple wins (2 from 14 races, 14%), but that pedigree masks a horse struggling for consistency—zero wins on good ground and zero wins on left-handed galloping tracks. Last two runs here at Killarney were poor (10th beaten 40L, then 5th beaten 16.8L), and the recent form suggests he's misfiring at exactly the wrong track.
One of the more successful in the field (2 career wins)
Zero wins and zero places from 7 races—not even a single frame finish to show for her efforts. Recent record (8th, 6th, 10th, 5th) shows she's running but not competitively enough, and a fall at Ballinrobe just 12 days ago is concerning.
Making his racecourse debut at eight years old—like Ikalimix, this is an unusually late start that raises concerns about why this horse has been kept away from racing so long. The O'Flynn yard has six winners this season but there's no evidence Macoo is a project worth backing at debut.
Zero wins from six races, and while the McCarthy stable-jockey combination boasts excellent numbers (32 wins from 417), this four-year-old has been consistently beaten—closest finish is a second place among finishes that include three eighths and an eleventh. Nothing in recent form suggests a turnaround.
Winless from 2 races with heavy recent defeats (8th beaten 27.2L at Wexford, then 10th beaten 32.8L at Cork 383 days earlier), and those performances came against weak fields. This is a horse going backwards, not forwards.
Only one race under his belt (a placed finish) and has never raced on normal ground, making him a complete unknown here. The McCarthy yard is firing winners but this horse offers zero evidence he's ready to deliver one today.
Never raced on normal groundLightly raced (1 career races)
Making his racecourse debut at eight years old, which is genuinely unusual and raises questions about why he's taken so long to reach the track. No prior form to assess, and jumping straight into competitive hurdles as an older first-timer is a risky proposition.
Two races, zero wins, zero places—including a 12th-place finish beaten 121.5L just 19 days ago, which is a drubbing. This horse has shown nothing to suggest he belongs in this contest.
Two races, zero wins, and the most recent outing (just 21 days ago) saw him finish 16th beaten 65.5L at Galway. He managed one second-place finish across two attempts, but that's the ceiling of his achievement so far.
Two races, two tenth-place finishes, zero wins—and those defeats were heavy (beaten 52.5L and 91L). This mare has yet to run a competitive race and offers no evidence she'll change that pattern today.
Making her racecourse debut at six years old, an extremely late arrival that is unusual in racing. Her only prior run (a 12th beaten 111.8L) suggests she's still finding her way, and debut at this age is a significant uncertainty.
Two races without a win or place (5th at Ballinrobe, 6th at Killarney 37 days ago), but the real interest here is that she's trained by Willie Mullins—one of the sport's elite yards that regularly turns out winners. This mare may have more quality than the raw form suggests, though she's yet to show it.
Two races without a win, away for 448 days, and returning after a 14-month absence to an eighth-place finish beaten 53.8L at Kilbeggan just 14 days ago. This is a horse badly out of form and the long layoff compounds the problem.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.