The market favourite and the most obvious danger in the field, this horse ran just 20 days ago and finished a narrow second — beaten only 0.2 lengths — on its only career race. That near-miss behind a stablemate suggests it was learning the ropes and has more to offer now. Drawn low in stall 2, which suits this course, and the editorial verdict backs it to win here.
Never raced on slightly soft groundLightly raced (1 career races)Market favourite (2.38)
Wearing tongue strapFresh (278 days off)Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
The longest absence in the entire field — nearly nine months off the track since a sixth-place debut at Leopardstown. Colin Keane, one of Ireland's top jockeys, takes the ride, which is a positive sign, but this horse is essentially an unknown quantity returning cold from a very long break and facing the test of slightly soft ground for the first time.
Never raced on slightly soft groundLightly raced (1 career races)Absent 278 days (longest in field)
Finished second on debut, which is a solid starting point, and at 6-1 is the third-best price in the field. Unlike the favourite, we have no margin from that run to compare against — the debut form is unknown in quality. Worth respecting as the only other horse in the field with a placing on the board besides the favourite.
Has the most consistent recent form of the outsiders, finishing sixth and then fourth across two races — a quiet improvement in the right direction. That said, the trainer has gone 0 from 17 in the last two weeks, which is not the form you want behind you heading into a race with a clear market leader.
Shares the same trainer as the favourite but finished fourth on debut 18 days ago, beaten 6.2 lengths — a reasonable enough start but some way behind where Alphonsus Liguori left off. Drawn low in stall 6, which is the sweet spot at this course, and races with a tongue strap fitted. A stablemate to beat rather than a horse to beat the favourite with.
Finished fifth on debut 17 days ago, beaten 2.5 lengths — closer to the action than several rivals in this field, and the trainer has won 2 from 4 in the last two weeks, which is a decent recent record. Never raced on slightly soft ground, so today's conditions are a new question, but the stable form gives a small reason for interest.
Never raced on slightly soft groundLightly raced (1 career races)
One race, a seventh-place finish, and then roughly five months off the track — there is very little to work with here. Untested on slightly soft ground and returning from a long break, this horse faces more unknowns than most in the field.
Never raced on slightly soft groundLightly raced (1 career races)
Two races, two forgettable finishes — sixth and then seventh, the latter a heavy 28.5-length defeat at Cork nine days ago. Drawn in the middle of the field where this course's stats are weakest, and there is nothing in the form to suggest a turnaround is coming.
Never raced on slightly soft groundLightly raced (2 career races)
Making his racecourse debut with no form to assess at all — a complete unknown. His breeding points towards longer distances over time, which makes a one-mile debut on slightly soft ground an interesting test, though there is no way of knowing yet whether he is ready for it.
A complete first-timer with no race record to analyse, bred for speed on both sides of the family. The jockey-trainer partnership has yet to win together from three attempts, and at 51-1 the market is not expecting much — though every debut is a leap into the unknown.
Eighth and tenth in two races, the latter a 17.3-length defeat — the form is the weakest among the runners with any experience. Drawn widest of all in stall 12, where this course's stats are at their most unhelpful, and has never raced on slightly soft ground. Hard to make a case for this one.
Never raced on slightly soft groundLightly raced (2 career races)
The longest-priced runner in the field at 151-1, and the form backs that price up — a tenth-place finish in his only completed race, followed by five months off the track. We have almost nothing to go on here, and what little there is does not encourage.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.