The market favourite, and the most efficient winner in this field — two wins from just eight races means it wins roughly 1 in 4, the best career win rate here. Crucially, it has never raced on normal ground, so today's conditions are an unknown, and it pulled up last time out at Fairyhouse 33 days ago, which is a concern heading into this. Its trainer Henry De Bromhead is the busiest form trainer in the yard right now, which counts for something.
Never raced on normal groundBest career win rate in field (1 in 4)Trainer in best form (2 from 18 last 2wk)Market favourite (2.88)
Wearing cheekpiecesQuick turnaroundWon 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
The editorial verdict highlights this one specifically — it ran well at Cheltenham's famous Martin Pipe race and gets a 6lb weight advantage over top-rated Sandor Clegane here, which levels the playing field considerably. It ran at Punchestown just nine days ago, though the result of that race isn't available in the data. Like others in this field, it has never raced on normal ground, so today's conditions remain untested territory.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 1 of last 5Loves this ground (33% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
The highest-rated horse in this field by some distance, but his odds have drifted dramatically from near-certainty to 3.75, which is a signal worth noting. He won at Down Royal just 27 days ago, but his two runs before that at Cheltenham and Leopardstown were well beaten. Both his trainer and jockey have gone without a winner in the past two weeks, adding to the question marks around his form.
Best record on this ground (1 from 3)
Trainer Quotes
Feb 2025
"He ran well enough in the Galmoy and actually hit the line well, which he hadn't been doing, so I was happy to see that. He's in the Stayers' Hurdle and could go for that, but I'd love to see him have a crack at the Coral Cup ? that sort of race would suit him. If he got into a rhythm early, I could see him running a big race. 20-2-25"
The most striking story in the race: this horse won at Wexford just two days ago and is already lining up again, which is an extraordinary turnaround. Like Butch Cassidy, it has never raced on normal ground — all its wins have come on very wet or muddy conditions — so today's standard surface is a real unknown. The jockey and trainer have no wins together from five attempts, and the horse has struggled on left-handed courses.
Never raced on normal groundRuns again after just 2 days
The only horse in this field yet to win a race across 11 attempts, and recent form includes two pulled-up efforts in the last few months. At 51-1, it is the rank outsider, and the lightest weight in the race reflects the gulf in class between this horse and the market leaders. There is simply no data here to suggest a first win is imminent.
Jockey in form (3 wins in 14 days)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
At 41-1, this is the longest shot in the race with good reason — one win from 12 career races and recent finishes of sixth and seventh suggest this is a horse still finding its feet at this level. The most recent result from Limerick three weeks ago is unknown, which makes it hard to get a clear read on where it stands right now. Honest data, honest assessment: the evidence here doesn't make a compelling case.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.