Kempton

Carries the lowest weight and has the lowest official rating in the field, sitting 4lbs below the average — that weight advantage is the clearest thing it has going for it. It knows this track, finishing second and third here in its last two Kempton appearances, so it handles the course. Still without a win from 13 races, but jockey Saffie Osborne has been in decent nick lately with 4 winners from 21 rides in the past two weeks.

The best career win rate in the field — winning roughly 1 in every 3.5 races — and its record specifically at this distance of five to six and a half furlongs is impressive, with two wins from three races at the trip. However, it has never raced on today's slower ground before, and its last two runs were a fifth and a seventh, so it arrives needing to bounce back. The trainer has been in good recent form, winning 2 from 8 in the last two weeks.

The editorial pick, and it's easy to see why — this horse has won twice from five races at this exact distance, giving it the best record at six furlongs of any runner in the field. It won at Lingfield just six days ago, so it's racing on a short turnaround, but the form is fresh and relevant. The one note of caution is that it has struggled on left-handed tracks — and Kempton runs right-handed, which actually works in its favour.

Still searching for a first win from 15 races, but three consecutive top-three finishes show this horse is in the best form of its career right now. It has finished second or third at Kempton twice in its last three visits here, so the track clearly suits. The big unknown is whether it can finally convert that consistency into a win — nothing in its record suggests it can, but nothing in its recent form suggests it can't.