The market favourite (3.5) is a 4-year-old with zero wins from five races but three top-three finishes, suggesting she's competitive without delivering — and like several in this field, she's never run on dry ground. Her last race was third at Dundalk 26 days ago, so she's recent enough, but there's no evidence she can convert all that promise into a victory.
This 4-year-old won once at Cork and has picked up two other places from 13 races (8% win rate), and she's recent — just 23 days since a narrow fourth at Killarney. However, she's never raced on dry ground and her recent form shows 4th, 4th, then back to 18th, suggesting inconsistency rather than a horse building momentum.
Fresh (275 days off)Won 1 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
A 5-year-old returning from a brutal 275-day absence (longest layoff in the field) after posting 10th, 8th, 9th finishes before disappearing — this is a horse with serious fitness questions to answer. She's never raced on dry ground, has won just once in 12 races, and the gap since her last run makes her a massive longshot.
Never raced on dry groundAbsent 275 days (longest in field)
M. N Fahey(7)
·
P. Lawlor
· 8yo
· 11st 0lb
· OR 63
HeadgearForm
11
Wearing visorWon 2 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
This 8-year-old has suddenly caught fire, winning twice in her last six races including last week at Down Royal — she's the only horse in the field with genuine recent momentum. With 55 races under her belt (most experienced by far), 6 career wins, and a 25% win rate on good ground, she ticks boxes on form, experience, and conditions that others don't.
Wearing tongue strapQuick turnaroundWon 1 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
This 5-year-old broke through just 2 days ago with a win at Sligo and boasts the best win rate in the field (1 in 9 races), but she's the lowest-rated runner by 13 lengths and is racing again after just two days — extremely short turnaround for a horse moving up sharply in class. Never raced on dry ground either, making this a step into the unknown on multiple fronts.
Lowest rated, 13lbs below averageNever raced on dry groundRuns again after just 2 daysBest career win rate in field (1 in 9)
Wearing tongue strapWon 1 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
This 7-year-old won at Tramore just 69 days ago and brings a respectable 9% win rate across 33 races, but has also never run on dry ground like today — a significant unknown. He's had good ground form (14% win rate) and suits the 1m4f trip perfectly, yet he's still untested at this exact combination of conditions.
J. O'Gorman(7)
·
O. McKiernan
· 10yo
· 10st 13lb
· OR 62
HeadgearFreshness
4.9
Wearing blinkersFresh (91 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
This 10-year-old has never raced on dry ground and is returning from a 91-day break with patchy recent data, but he does have the best record at today's trip (1 win from 5 at 1m4f, a 20% win rate) and a handy 33% win rate over 1m3f–1m4f distances. His experience and trip-specific form count for something, though the lack of recent racing is a concern.
Never raced on dry groundBest record at this trip (1 from 5)
A 4-year-old with zero wins from six races despite finishing second or third four times — she's had chances but hasn't delivered. Running again just 14 days after her last outing and having never raced on dry ground puts her at a disadvantage in this competitive field.
A 5-year-old with a brutal 22-race record of zero wins and just four places, currently winless across six straight races — she's the definition of a horse struggling to find her level. Running again just 7 days after finishing 10th at Galway shows she's being given opportunities, but none have worked out.
Carries lowest weight in field3 straight top-3 finishesRuns again after just 7 days
A. Maher(7)
·
O. McKiernan
· 10yo
· 11st 9lb
· OR 72
HeadgearFreshness
1.5
Wearing visorFresh (105 days off)Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
The selection has never raced on dry ground like today, which is a genuine concern despite the editorial case built on improving form — his last three races were all pulled-ups, and he's drifted massively in the market (26.0 from 1.03) suggesting the market isn't convinced. At 10 years old with just 2 wins from 22 races, this is a horse asking you to believe in trajectory rather than current evidence, and that's a tall ask when conditions are untested.
Never raced on dry groundUnfancied in the market despite a high rating
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
The highest-rated runner on paper (OR 70) has managed just 1 win from 32 races and is limping into this with a sequence of 5th, 5th, 6th finishes — the competitive runner who never quite threatens. His one strength is a 6% win rate on good ground, which suits today, but the draw (1) offers no help and the market has already given up (41.0 odds).
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.