C. Keane
·
K. Thomas Coleman
· 3yo
· 10st 2lb
· OR 60
FreshnessForm
25
Good Value
Fresh (95 days off)Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
The second-rated threat according to the editorial, but hasn't raced in 95 days (longest absence in the field) and carries a blank record across five races with no wins. The good news is he's shown a place finish; the bad news is dry ground is another first for him and he'll need everything to click after nearly four months away.
Never raced on dry groundAbsent 95 days (longest in field)
The editorial pick and top-rated horse here by a clear margin, but she's walking into uncharted territory on dry ground for the first time after struggling on softer surfaces. Her single win came at longer distances (1m1f-1m2f), and recent form is mixed—ninth at Killarney just three weeks ago—which explains why her odds drifted massively from 1.03 to 7.4 despite being the selection.
J. Cleary(5)
·
R. Brabazon
· 3yo
· 10st 0lb
· OR 58
FormTrack
12
Good Value
Won 1 of last 5Won here 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The only course winner in the entire field (beat all rivals at Gowran Park 56 days ago) and the market favourite at 5.0, but she's never run on dry ground and the recent form shows a ninth-place finish since that win. This is a strong marker but the ground shift and time away are genuine concerns.
Only course winner (1 from 1 here)Never raced on dry groundMarket favourite (5.0)
The editorial mentions him as capable of making his presence felt, and he does have three places from eight races—rare form in this field. But he's drawn 13 (another high-draw penalty), hasn't won in eight attempts, and dry ground is new territory for him.
P. Harnett(5)
·
M. J Byrne
· 3yo
· 9st 9lb
· OR 53
HeadgearForm
8.4
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Running at the field average rating with only one place finish across seven races, and recent form shows a 21st-place effort at Naas sandwiched between mid-field efforts. Never raced on dry ground, and there's no sign in her record that she's suddenly going to find form now.
Wearing visorWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The only other multiple winner in the field (2 from 16 races at 12% win rate) and carries the joint-lowest weight, but her wins came on standard ground at Dundalk—she's 0 for 4 on good ground and has never raced on dry before. Ninth at Gowran Park just two weeks ago, so she knows the track but hasn't solved it.
Carries lowest weight in fieldOnly winner at this distanceNever raced on dry groundBest record at this trip (1 from 7)
B. Coen
·
K. Thomas Coleman
· 3yo
· 10st 2lb
· OR 60
FreshnessForm
6.8
Quick turnaroundWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Three races, no wins, and turned out again just six days after finishing eighth at Galway—this is a lightly raced horse being asked to bounce back too quickly. Running on dry ground for the first time, and neither he nor his jockey-trainer combo have any pattern of success to lean on here.
Never raced on dry groundLightly raced (3 career races)Runs again after just 6 days
Also named by the editorial as capable of running well, carrying the lightest weight of the rated runners and showing four places from eight races—competitive but never quite getting over the line. Dry ground remains untested, and a third-place finish at Down Royal is her most recent solid form.
Drawn high in 15 at a track where the high draws win only 4% of races, and she's winless from four attempts with just one place to her name. Never raced on dry ground, and recent form (ninth at Fairyhouse, sixth twice) doesn't suggest imminent improvement.
A. Browne-Souza(7)
·
A. Slattery
· 3yo
· 9st 7lb
· OR 51
Form
4.2
Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Three places from eight races shows he's competitive enough, but winless across his entire career and the recent sequence (fourth, eighth, then a disastrous 21st at Naas) suggests he's struggling. Dry ground is another first, and at 13-1 there's too much guesswork in his profile.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Lightly raced with just two outings—both eighth-place finishes—and never tested on dry ground before. She's trained by the same yard as Glamazon (Mrs John Harrington), but while the stable has a strong record with this jockey, Churchfield Lady hasn't given any sign of imminent progress.
Never raced on dry groundLightly raced (2 career races)
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Ten races without a win and only one place finish to show for it—the least successful profile in the field despite having the most experience. Recent form (10th at Limerick, 4th at Roscommon before that) shows some glimmers, but dry ground is untested and she's carrying just 9lbs below average for good reason.
Wearing tongue strapWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Lowest-rated horse in the field by 12lbs, carries one of the lowest weights, and winless from five races with just a single place finish. Dry ground is untested and recent form is poor (14th at Leopardstown, 10th at Killarney), making him a clear outsider at 29-1.
Lowest rated, 12lbs below averageNever raced on dry ground
Massive 101-1 outsider with good reason: zero wins, zero places from five races, and her last two runs were twelfth-place finishes 65 and 88 days ago. Never raced on dry ground, and the 24-length beating at the Curragh last time out tells you she's well out of her depth here.
Fresh (67 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Lightly raced with just three outings (9th, 13th, 14th placings) and carrying 8lbs below the field average—a clear sign she's well out of her class. Never raced on dry ground, hasn't earned a penny in prize money, and there's nothing in her record to suggest today changes that.
Never raced on dry groundLightly raced (3 career races)
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.