Gowran Park
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Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
TrackLab Insight
The race favourite and the editorial nap, tipped to improve on a second place here over 7 furlongs 13 days ago — and today's extra furlong could suit. He has a prime draw in stall 2, the jockey has ridden 4 winners in the last two weeks, and he is a well-bred Godolphin cast-off who may simply be finding his feet. The one genuine concern is that he has never raced on wet ground before, so today's conditions are unknown territory.
Never raced on soft ground
Jockey in best form (4 from 20 last 2wk)
Market favourite (6.0)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The form horse in the field — she won right here at Gowran Park just 13 days ago, making her one of only a handful of course winners in this race. The big unknown is today's wet ground: she has never raced on a soft surface, so this is an untested question mark despite her in-form trainer. The editorial nap, Majestic King, is specifically tipped to reverse form with her, which tells you how close this could be.
Never raced on soft ground
Trainer in best form (3 from 20 last 2wk)
TrackLab Insight
The best record at today's mile trip in the field — 2 wins from 8 races over this distance — and he was beaten less than half a length at Dundalk just 12 days ago. The prime stall 1 draw is a real asset here, where low-drawn horses win 11% of races compared to just 5% from the high numbers. The catch: he has never won at Gowran Park in 8 attempts and struggles on right-handed tracks, which this is.
Best record at this trip (2 from 8)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
An experienced 8-year-old with 3 career wins from 54 races, but most of his success has come at Dundalk on an artificial surface — a very different test to today's wet turf at Gowran Park. He is 0 from 8 on right-handed galloping tracks, which is exactly what he faces today. The jockey change to Chris Hayes, who has ridden 3 winners in the past two weeks, is the one mildly interesting angle.
One of the more successful in the field (3 career wins)
TrackLab Insight
Hasn't raced in 97 days, which is a concern after three consecutive placed or near-placed finishes at Dundalk that suggested some consistency. His best form has come on the artificial surface there rather than on turf in wet conditions, and the high draw in stall 13 puts him in unfavourable territory. One to watch if he returns fresh, but coming back after three months is always a risk.
Mid-range in the market (12.0)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
One of only a handful of horses in this field with a win at Gowran Park, which is worth noting in a race where course experience matters. However, she hasn't raced for over six months and her last run was a fall, which raises real fitness and confidence questions. Her record of 0 wins from 12 races on left-handed galloping tracks — the type of course Gowran Park is — also works firmly against her.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
TrackLab Insight
Like several rivals today, she has never raced on soft or wet ground, so how she handles the conditions is a genuine unknown. Her best form has come on fast, dry ground where she wins roughly 1 in 6 races, and she was beaten 5 lengths at Cork 11 days ago. A low draw in stall 6 helps, but there are too many unanswered questions about the ground.
Never raced on soft ground
TrackLab Insight
Six races without a win and only one top-three finish to her name — this horse is still searching for a breakthrough. She has never raced on soft ground, adding another layer of uncertainty to an already modest record. A decent draw in stall 5 is about the only thing working in her favour today.
Never raced on soft ground
TrackLab Insight
Technically the best win rate in the field at 1 win from 9 races, but that stat flatters him slightly given how few races he has run. More importantly, he has never won on wet ground — 0 from 3 on soft — and his preferred distances appear to be slightly further than today's mile. Drawn in the worst stall in the race (16), where the numbers are firmly against him.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 9)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Eight races, zero wins, and zero place finishes — the worst record in the field on paper. She hasn't raced in over seven months, the longest absence of any runner here, making it almost impossible to know what to expect on her return. There is very little in the data to suggest she can reverse that trend today.
Absent 208 days (longest in field)
TrackLab Insight
An 11-year-old veteran with 4 wins from 55 races, but today's wet ground is a serious problem — he has never won on soft or any form of soft/muddy surface in 26 attempts across those conditions combined. His draw in stall 15 also puts him in the worst part of the track, where horses win just 5% of the time at this course and distance. Hard to make a case for him here.
One of the more successful in the field (4 career wins)
TrackLab Insight
A 10-year-old with a standout stat: he has won over this exact course and distance at Gowran Park, making him one of very few proven course-and-distance winners in the field. The problem is he has never won on soft ground in 5 attempts, which is a direct contradiction of what today demands. He was third here just 26 days ago, so he is fit and clearly loves this track.
Has won over this course and distance
TrackLab Insight
Despite carrying a rating that ties him with the joint-highest in the field, the market has pushed him out to 26/1 — a clear sign punters aren't buying it. His one career win came over much longer distances, and his last three runs include a 38-length beating, which is difficult to ignore. Drawn in stall 14, another high draw in a race where low numbers have a big advantage.
Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
TrackLab Insight
Returning from a six-month absence and rated 4lbs below the field average, he also has a record of 0 wins from 4 attempts on soft ground — so today's conditions don't help. His one career win came nearly two years ago, and his last six runs have produced nothing better than sixth. It is hard to find a strong argument for him in a competitive 16-runner field.
Never raced on soft ground
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field by far — 57 races compared to a field average of 24 — but rated 12lbs below the field average, which tells you how the handicapper views his ability. The one genuine standout is his record on soft and wet ground: he has won on it, which more than half this field cannot say. At 41/1 with declining recent form, he would need everything to fall right.
Lowest rated, 12lbs below average
Best record on this ground (1 from 4)
Most experienced (57 runs, field avg 24)
TrackLab Insight
Carries the lowest weight in the field by some margin, which is how the handicapper tries to give horses like him a chance, but his last six runs read 9th, 14th, 11th, 8th, 13th, 15th — consistently finishing near the back. His one career win came on heavy ground over two years ago, and despite that, he has 0 wins from 3 attempts on soft. At 51/1, the market has made its view clear.
Carries lowest weight in field
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The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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