Wearing tongue strapQuick turnaroundWon 0 of last 5Won here 2 timesHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite heads the field on the editorial verdict, but recent form tells a different story: just one win in 56 races overall (roughly 1 in 14), and he's never won on standard ground in his life — 0 from 10. Ran second at Galway four days ago and returns after barely any rest; age and experience count for something, but his ground-dependent nature is a serious problem today.
Most experienced (56 runs, field avg 25)Runs again after just 4 daysMarket favourite (4.0)
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this groundWon at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
Apache Outlaw wins roughly one in three at Dundalk — his personal fiefdom — but this is normal Galway turf, and he's landed three placed finishes from four runs here without a win. The most credible threat to the favourite on recent form, but that Dundalk record counts for little today, and a poor record on any ground softer than standard is a real concern.
One of the more successful in the field (6 career wins)
Won at this course & distanceWearing visorWon 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Has won over this course and distance, which matters, and shows 20% on yielding ground — useful in mixed conditions. However, she's been off for 40 days, hasn't raced on standard ground (her condition today), and her last nine races brought just one win; the edge has dulled.
Wearing cheekpiecesQuick turnaroundWon 1 of last 5Raced here beforeLoves this ground (25% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
Recent winner at Bellewstown and running back after just four days, having finished fifth here at Galway in her last outing. Wins roughly one in five (20%), shows 33% on standard ground, and is clearly in form — a live contender despite the quick turnaround.
Wearing tongue strapWon 2 of last 5Has won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Just won twice at Beverley (18 and 29 days ago) but that was on fast, dry ground — 50% record there. Today is standard turf, and he's won nowhere on standard ground (0 from 7 starts); the wins look unsustainable at this level and track type.
Wins roughly one in 11 races (5 from 53) and shows 25% on standard ground — one of the few in this field suited by today's conditions. Placed in two of his last three outings and has the experience, but the jockey-trainer combo rarely wins together, and there's no recent winning form to lean on.
One of the more successful in the field (5 career wins)
Won 2 of last 5Loves this ground (30% win rate)Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Best record on standard ground in the entire field (30% from 10 starts) and just won at Roscommon 32 days ago with two wins in his last six. Wins one in seven overall (14%), but standard ground is his sweet spot, and he shows real form — a genuine contender underrated at 12.0.
A. Browne-Souza(7)
·
A. Slattery
· 4yo
· 9st 12lb
· OR 68
FreshnessForm
4.6
Quick turnaroundWon 1 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Runs back after just four days following a heavy defeat at Galway (14th, beaten 26.8L), which is a concerning pattern. He's got a solid record on standard ground (20% from 10), but asking him to bounce back this quickly off that hammering is a tough ask.
Won at this course & distanceQuick turnaroundWon 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeWon at this distance 3 times
TrackLab Insight
Just raced two days ago (16th at Galway) and has never raced on standard ground in his career — a massive unknown in his only race at this track today. The workload and ground uncertainty make him a puzzle; his record when suited (heavy, 25%) doesn't apply here.
Has won over this course and distanceNever raced on normal groundRuns again after just 2 days
Wearing tongue strapWon 1 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
One win from 13 races (8%) is a thin return, and he's been beaten 17.8L recently at Fairyhouse. Shows 25% on yielding ground (not today) and wins at shorter distances — he's the least equipped for a 7f sprint on standard ground in this field.
Outstanding on standard ground — 55% win rate from 11 starts — which is exactly today's conditions, and he's among the field's most successful at 7 wins overall. However, he's been off for 40 days and showed little at Leopardstown (15th) six weeks ago; timing and sharpness are question marks.
One of the more successful in the field (7 career wins)
Wearing tongue strapFresh (69 days off)Won 0 of last 5Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Active as recently as yesterday but has gone 69 days without a win, and his last 18 races show barely any success — just two places from his last six outings. Hates standard ground (0 wins from 4), which is exactly what he faces today; this is a horse in steep decline.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 1 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Just missed at Bellewstown (beaten 0.5L) and has two wins from six on yielding or good-to-yielding ground. Standard turf is foreign — she's never won on it from six attempts — and she hates right-handed galloping tracks; Galway's layout works against her.
Fresh (232 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Returning after 232 days away — longest absence in the field — with zero wins from six career races and no experience on standard ground whatsoever. This looks like a horse still being found rather than one ready to hit the ground running.
Never raced on normal groundAbsent 232 days (longest in field)
Wearing blinkersWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
One win from 16 races (6%) is among the field's worst records, and his sole victory was 27 months ago. He hates standard ground (never won on it from 3 attempts) and soft ground, which means Galway's normal conditions are poison for him.
Barely raced (2 starts) and beaten badly both times — fifth and twelfth — with his most recent run just yesterday. The data is too thin to trust here; this looks like a horse still finding his feet, and the market has rightly abandoned him.
Lightly raced (2 career races)Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
Wearing blinkersWon 1 of last 5Loves this ground (25% win rate)Won at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
Best win rate in the entire field at one in four, with two wins specifically over this 7f trip — exactly what you want to hear. Markets have written him off after a couple of heavy defeats, but his record when fresh is strong, and this is precisely his distance.
Best record at this trip (2 from 5)Best career win rate in field (1 in 4)Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 2 of last 5Loves this ground (29% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
Two wins in her last three races and absolutely flying right now — backed up by two straight victories and a second place just yesterday. However, she's never won on standard ground (0 from 6) and hates galloping tracks; today's conditions and layout are her kryptonite despite her current form.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.