Storm Averted
Storm Averted is a 5-year-old that took a full year to notch a second career start, finally breaking through with a win at Galway on 2 August 2025 after appearing in 14 races without success. That first victory came at just the right moment — the horse now finds itself in a rare pocket of form, with a ninth-place finish followed by three consecutive top-eight runs. The recent form reads 13-9-4-7-8-1 across the last six races, suggesting that once the monkey came off its back, Storm Averted began to settle into a rhythm.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
📊 Key Numbers
Career statistics for this horse
26.7%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
🔍 Full Analysis
TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
The winning win rate of 1 in 15 races (7%) is modest on paper, but the numbers improve when you zoom in on the distances that suit this horse best. Over the 7-furlong to 1-mile range, Storm Averted has won 1 from 7 races — a 14% success rate that doubles the overall average. Trainer Maurice Andrew Ahern, based in Mallow, Co Cork, appears to have found something in this horse and is regularly pointing it at the right races. Wesley Joyce, the jockey who has ridden Storm Averted for 11 of its 15 career races, has yet to repeat that winning partnership, with 1 win from 11 rides together (9%), but the consistency of their pairing suggests Ahern trusts the arrangement.
A year between wins is a long wait for any racehorse, but Storm Averted now looks genuinely competitive at the level where it belongs. The recent sequence — particularly the back-to-back top-four efforts — hints that this horse may finally be putting form together rather than chasing single victories in a sea of mid-field finishes. At 5, it has plenty of racing ahead, and if Ahern can keep finding the right races at the right distances, Storm Averted could develop into a more regular winner.
⚡ Strengths & Risks
What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on yielding ground: 1 wins from 6 starts (17%)
✔ Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 14% win rate
🎯 Where This Horse Thrives
Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Yielding (slightly soft)
Loves
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, tight
Loves
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
📅 Recent Runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
1 Aug
13th
Galway
7f – 1m · Yielding · 18 runners
22 Jun
9th
Ballinrobe
1m1f – 1m2f · Yielding · 11 runners
21 Oct
4th
The Curragh
5f – 6½f · Heavy · 17 runners
8 Oct
7th
Navan
1m1f – 1m2f · Yielding · 9 runners
2 Oct
8th
Bellewstown
7f – 1m · Soft · 11 runners
2 Aug
🏆 Won
Galway
7f – 1m · Yielding · 18 runners
29 Jul
4th
Galway
1m1f – 1m2f · Yielding · 21 runners
16 Apr
7th
Gowran Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 11 runners
23 Mar
14th
Naas
7f – 1m · Soft_To_Heavy · 15 runners
28 Feb
6th
Dundalk
5f – 6½f · Standard · 13 runners
🏇 Jockey Partnerships
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
🏟 Track Record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
|---|
| Galway Tight |
4 |
1 win, 1 second, 2 other |
1 Aug |
25% |
| Bellewstown Sharp |
2 |
1 second, 1 other |
2 Oct |
0% |
| Gowran Park Undulating |
2 |
2 other |
16 Apr |
0% |
| The Curragh Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
21 Oct |
0% |
| Punchestown Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
17 Sep |
0% |
| Navan Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
8 Oct |
0% |
| Dundalk Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
28 Feb |
0% |
| Fairyhouse Galloping |
1 |
1 third |
23 Sep |
0% |
| Naas Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
23 Mar |
0% |
| Ballinrobe Sharp |
1 |
1 other |
22 Jun |
0% |