J. P O'Neill(7)
·
H. C Knight
· 5yo
· 11st 8lb
· OR 97
FormTrack
18
Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
One of the younger horses in the field at five years old, and notably has never raced on today's normal ground conditions — all his form has come on softer surfaces. He ran here at Fontwell just 28 days ago and finished third, which is encouraging, but stepping up to 2m 6f is uncharted territory for him.
Wearing cheekpiecesTrainer in formWon 1 of last 5Has won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The market has made this horse the favourite on the back of a win at Plumpton last month, and the trainer has been in decent form recently with 2 winners from 8 runners. The concern is straightforward: his record on normal ground is fine, but he has not won on conditions like today's before, and this step up to 2m 6f is a new test.
Won at this course & distanceWearing tongue strapWon 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The standout credential here is a strong one: she is the only horse in this field who has already won over this course and distance at Fontwell, making her uniquely suited to today's conditions on paper. The recent form is ugly though — a pull-up last time and well beaten in the two runs before that — so she arrives needing to rediscover something she showed earlier in her career.
Only winner at this distanceHas won over this course and distanceBest record on this ground (2 from 9)
Trainer Quotes
Oct 2023
"She won on her debut at Wetherby and showed a really good attitude. She could run in the Listed mares' bumper at Cheltenham in November as she's only four and she'd have to run under a penalty in a normal bumper. We could look at all those black-type bumpers this season and I'm not in a hurry to go over hurdles with her. She seems to have progressed over the summer. 04-10-23"
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 2 of last 5Won here 2 times
TrackLab Insight
Two wins from three races at Fontwell makes Bradman one of the most relevant course specialists in this field — that record at this track is genuinely impressive. The last run ended in a pull-up at Ffos Las just 24 days ago, which is a concern, but if he bounces back to his Fontwell form, he deserves respect.
H. Tucker(3)
·
N. Mulholland
· 7yo
· 12st 0lb
· OR 103
FormTrack
8.0
Won 3 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
The best win rate in the field — winning roughly 1 in 4 races — and on a genuine roll, with back-to-back wins before a disappointing fourth last time out. The big catch is that those wins came on wet or muddy ground, and today's normal conditions are where her record falls apart: zero wins from three races on similar footing.
Wearing tongue strapWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
At 11 years old, this is by far the most experienced horse in the race with 43 career runs — more than double the field average. He ran here at Fontwell just 12 days ago and finished fifth, so at least there are no fitness questions, but three wins from 43 races tells you this horse is hard to back with confidence.
The editorial verdict picks her out despite an eight-race career with no wins and no placed finishes — the lowest rating in the field by some margin and carrying the lightest weight of any runner. She has never raced on today's normal ground, but she finished fourth here at Fontwell last time out, which is actually the best result of her career, and the longer 2m 6f trip is expected to suit her breeding.
Lowest rated, 12lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in fieldNever raced on normal ground
Fourteen races and still waiting for a first win — Marhaba Million is one of two horses in this field yet to break their duck. The recent form shows a couple of mid-pack finishes without threatening the front, and at odds of 21.0 the market is not convinced a breakthrough is coming today.
Wearing cheekpiecesFresh (178 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
A ten-year-old returning from nearly six months off the track, which is the longest absence of any horse in this field — that alone makes him hard to trust. His record on today's normal ground is dismal, with zero wins from seven attempts, and the last run ended in a pull-up. Hard to make a case for him here.
Fresh (115 days off)Won 1 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
An experienced eight-year-old with 30 races under his belt, but the recent form is hard to ignore — a pull-up at this very track 115 days ago, and now returning after nearly four months off. He has three career wins to his name, but his record on right-handed tracks is poor, and Fontwell is a right-handed course.
One of the more successful in the field (3 career wins)
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.