Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Charencey has rattled off three straight top-3 finishes and wins roughly 1 in 12 races, placing him squarely in contention for a modest prize like this. He thrives on good-to-soft ground—exactly what's expected today—making this one of his most favourable targets this season.
Won 0 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Gert Lush is the market favourite at 5.0 and has posted back-to-back places at Lingfield and Ffos Las, showing she handles both the course and the distance well. Her record over 1m1f–1m2f (29% win rate) is significantly stronger than her general form, making her a genuine threat at this trip.
H. Vigors(5)
·
I. Williams
· 4yo
· 9st 9lb
· OR 50
HeadgearForm
18
Good Value
Wearing tongue strapWon 0 of last 5Won here 2 timesLoves this ground (50% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
Typeface holds a clear 5-pound edge at the head of the ratings with the best win rate in the field (1 in 7 races) and has won 2 from 4 races on good ground—conditions that should suit him here. The step up to 1m 2f combined with normal ground appears tailor-made for him, and the editorial selection looks well-founded.
Best record on this ground (2 from 4)Best career win rate in field (1 in 7)
Elora Prince carries the lowest weight in the field (128lbs) as the youngest runner at 3, and while he's winless from 14 races, his one place finish and recent 4th at Ffos Las show he can run respectably on this course. The weight concession and youthful inexperience make him a value play if he can convert proximity into victory.
Lapidarist is winless from 14 races but finished just 0.3 lengths clear in second at Lingfield 20 days ago, suggesting a breakthrough could come soon if she can replicate that effort. At 9.2 odds and paired with an experienced trainer-jockey combination, she offers value as a horse that has shown she can run close to the front without the burden of being market favourite.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Racing Demon has won 5 races from 50 attempts and sits just 5 pounds below the market favourite Typeface according to the editorial, making him a genuine second-string threat. However, he has never won at Ffos Las in 5 tries and his form has been patchy in recent weeks, suggesting he will need luck to trouble the top two.
One of the more successful in the field (5 career wins)
B. Ffrench Davis(5)
·
G. Harris
· 4yo
· 9st 9lb
· OR 46
FormTrack
9.5
Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
A Rose Adaay has placed in 2 of the last 3 races but remains winless after 11 attempts—a stubborn pattern that shows promise without delivery. Her high draw (11) puts her at a disadvantage on this track where low-drawn horses win at double the rate, making an already tough ask even tougher.
Wearing blinkersQuick turnaroundWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
King Of The Dance has won 3 races from 46 attempts and his best form comes on normal ground, which should suit him here, but he's winless at Ffos Las in 7 tries—a concerning blank at a track where he'll need to find something extra. His recent run at the course just 9 days ago is a plus for sharpness, though the result is unclear.
One of the more successful in the field (3 career wins)
Won at this course & distanceWon 0 of last 5Won here 2 timesHas won on this groundWon at this distance 3 times
TrackLab Insight
City Escape is the only course winner in the field with 2 wins from 5 races at Ffos Las, and she's also won at this exact distance—a standout pedigree for this race. However, her recent form has been dire (6th, 5th, 5th) and she hasn't won anywhere in 17 months, suggesting age and wear may be catching up with this 9-year-old veteran.
Course specialist (2 wins from 5 here)Only winner at this distanceHas won over this course and distanceBest record at this trip (3 from 21)
Prophet Squeeze is winless from 13 career races and has finished no better than 7th in her last six outings, making her the most out-of-form horse in the field by some distance. She is also 5 pounds below the average rating, a clear sign she belongs in a lower grade than this one.
Strong Man Tom is rated 22 pounds below the field average and has yet to place in 5 career races, making him the weakest horse in this line-up by a significant margin. At 101.0 odds, he has no realistic chance and should be ignored entirely.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.