Ffos Las
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Cymru Bet/Alan Bushell Racing Classified Stakes
Starts in
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Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
TrackLab Insight
Just broke his duck with a win at Chepstow four days ago after 21 races knocking on the door—this is a horse with momentum and timing on his side. The worry is he's never won on standard ground (0 from 19 attempts across all ground types), which is a major red flag for today's conditions and makes his recent success look ground-specific rather than a genuine turning point.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Runs again after just 4 days
Market favourite (2.5)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Second highest-rated in the field and boasts a strong record on standard ground (2 wins from 17), but he's 0 from 5 at Ffos Las and unseated at Chepstow just 12 days ago—concerning recent form for a seven-year-old being reunited with a jockey for the first time. His 1 in 15 career win rate also suggests he competes better than he wins.
2nd highest rated (OR 49)
Trainer Quotes
Aug 2022
"He ran once last year when an encouraging third over 6f at Windsor. He had a few issues after that, hence why he didn't run again until last month when finishing in mid-division at Lingfield. He was ring rusty but has come on in leaps and bounds since and the plan will be for another novice to get a handicap mark - he could be a dark horse for later in the season. 03-08-22"
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The editorial pick based on a progressive profile rather than raw ratings, and he's drawn in the low section (1) which carries a 15% win rate advantage at this course and distance. But he hasn't raced in 35 days, has won just once from 22 starts, and managed only seventh place here last time—the market's 6.0 odds look generous for a horse with such thin form.
2nd in the market (6.0)
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse here (62 races) with the best win rate in the field at roughly 1 in 8, and she's won at this trip before—but she's never won at Ffos Las (0 from 5) and hasn't tasted the winner's circle for five races. Her last two efforts were disappointing blanks, and the stable pairing with the jockey is new, which limits confidence.
Best record at this trip (1 from 4)
Most experienced (62 runs, field avg 27)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 8)
TrackLab Insight
The only horse in this field with a proven record on standard ground (1 win from 3 starts) and she wins roughly 1 in 8 races overall—respectable figures for this level. But she's a Southwell specialist really (3 wins from 17 there) and is coming off a poor seventh at Thirsk, so expect a moderate effort away from her happy hunting ground.
Best record on this ground (1 from 3)
TrackLab Insight
Ten races without a single place finish is a brutal record, and this is the first time he's run on standard ground—making it genuinely unclear how he'll handle today's conditions. At 17.0 odds and with that blank form sheet, he looks a long way out of his depth here.
Never raced on normal ground
TrackLab Insight
Twelve races without a win or a place finish, and she's been rushed back just four days after a ninth-place flop at Chepstow—that's a red flag for either desperation or poor planning. At 17.0 odds with zero course experience on this ground, she looks a hopeless cause.
Runs again after just 4 days
TrackLab Insight
Sixteen races, zero wins, and drifting hard in the market from 1.1 to 19.0—the betting has spoken, and it's not encouraging. He carries the lowest weight in the field but recent form shows two eighth-place hammerings, suggesting he's running out of chances in this company.
Carries lowest weight in field
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