The only horse in the field to have won at Cork, giving him a course form advantage none of his rivals can claim. However, he finished 17th here just 52 days ago in a deeply underwhelming effort, and today's normal ground is new territory for him — all of his best form has come on soft or wet surfaces.
Only course winner (1 from 6 here)Never raced on normal ground
Wearing tongue strapJockey in form (1 wins in 14 days)Won 1 of last 5Raced here beforeLoves this ground (50% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
The editorial pick, and the data backs up the interest — he has won two of his four races on normal ground, a record no one else in this field can match. He warmed up with a run at Clonmel last month, his best career win rate of around 1 in 6 is the strongest in the field, and today's conditions are exactly what he wants.
Best record on this ground (2 from 4)Best career win rate in field (1 in 6)
Fresh (189 days off)Won 1 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite, and his record of three consecutive second-place finishes before a break shows he is consistently competitive — but he is returning after a six-month absence and his best form has come on fast, dry ground, not today's normal conditions. He has failed to win on softer or more yielding ground across five attempts, which is worth keeping in mind even at the head of the market.
Five races, no wins, no places, and a finishing record that reads 5-6-7-8-7 — this horse has never once threatened the front-runners. Racing on normal ground for the first time will not obviously turn things around, and with the lowest-rated rivals well ahead of him in the market, there is little here to recommend.
Wearing tongue strapFresh (92 days off)Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated in this field by 3lbs, which suggests the handicapper thinks highly of her ability — but she has never raced on normal ground like today, so that advantage comes with a question mark. She showed a flash of life when winning at Tramore in April, but her last three runs since have been well beaten, and the 92-day absence adds further doubt.
One of the more proven winners in the field with three career victories, and she arrives here in the best form of anyone — winning at Tramore just 20 days ago. At nine years old she knows her job, and that recent win puts her right in the mix as one to beat.
One of the more successful in the field (3 career wins)
Fresh (217 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Fell at Killarney seven months ago and has not raced since, which makes this a cautious return for a horse with just one win from 13 races. His record on normal ground is also poor — no wins from four attempts — so conditions are not working in his favour either.
Landed his first career win at Gowran Park earlier this season, so there is at least recent evidence he can get his head in front. That said, he has never won on today's normal ground across four attempts, and his last two runs — a 10th and a 5th — have been underwhelming.
Still searching for a first win from seven races, but he has been knocking on the door with a string of placed efforts and was second at Gowran Park just over two months ago. He has never raced on today's normal ground, though, which is one more variable for a horse that is clearly improving but still finding the winning formula elusive.
Fresh (226 days off)Won 1 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced runner in the field by a distance, with 40 career races — but his four wins have all come on fast, dry ground, and he has never won on any other surface across a combined 22 attempts on softer or wetter ground. Coming back after six months off, today's normal conditions are at least in the right territory for him, though recent form has been deeply disappointing.
Won 1 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Pulled up at Tramore just 20 days ago and was beaten over 30 lengths at Clonmel the run before that — her recent form makes for difficult reading. She has also never won on today's normal ground across seven attempts, which does little to change the picture.
Wearing tongue strapWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
No wins from six career races and, notably, no experience of today's normal ground conditions. Her best recent effort was a third at Navan, but she followed that with a distant 10th at this very course three weeks ago — not a form line that inspires confidence on the return.
Fresh (428 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Has been off the track for over 14 months — the longest absence of anyone in this field — and returns without a single win from four career races. Also has no experience of today's normal ground conditions, making this a race full of unknowns for a horse already carrying plenty of questions.
Never raced on normal groundAbsent 428 days (longest in field)Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
Wearing cheekpiecesFresh (184 days off)Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Seven races in and yet to win or even place once — the closest he has come is a fourth. The last two runs produced an 11th and a 10th, and he is returning from a six-month break, making it hard to build a case for him here.
Fresh (226 days off)Won 1 of last 5Loves this ground (33% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
Won at Ballinrobe earlier this season, which shows she can get the job done, but she pulled up on her very next run and has been off the track for six months since. Her record on today's normal ground is promising — one win from three attempts — though the fitness question after that long break is real.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.