Jay Pee M

Reading the last six runs from most recent back, the sequence goes unplaced, unplaced, sixth, third, second, first — and that reversed is a horse that was in brilliant form earlier this year before something interrupted the momentum. That winning run at Navan in March 2025 was the peak of a lovely upward curve, but the two most recent outings have been blanks. Whether that represents a horse being freshened up, running on tricky ground, or simply being aimed at the wrong races is difficult to say — but 14 months since a win is a gap worth noting.

The partnership with jockey John Shinnick is one of the most striking facts here. In six races together, they have won twice — that is a win rate of 33%, or roughly 1 in every 3 rides. In jump racing, where even the very best jockeys win around 1 in 5, that kind of ratio between one horse and one rider is remarkable. It suggests Shinnick understands this horse, or at the very least that Terence O'Brien places them together in races where Jay Pee M has a genuine chance.

O'Brien trains out of Carrigtoohill in County Cork and has sent out 10 winners so far this season — a yard in decent nick. Jay Pee M broke its duck for the yard at Cork in January 2025, which has a certain tidiness to it, a local horse winning at the local track. The horse raced just one day ago, so whoever reads this profile is catching it right in the middle of an active campaign. The question now is whether the team can find the right opportunity to get back to winning ways and rekindle what looked, for a few weeks in early 2025, like a horse hitting its stride.