M. Coppins(5)
·
T. Carroll
· 3yo
· 9st 4lb
· OR 55
FormTrack
31
Won 2 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Shes Got The Blues is the only horse in this field with a confirmed win on this track and ground type — she won at Brighton 47 days ago and again at Leicester before that, putting her among genuine contenders. With the best career win rate in the field (1 in 8 races) and three consecutive top-three finishes, she's the most experienced and battle-hardened runner here despite the 41-day layoff.
Best record on this ground (1 from 5)Most experienced (17 runs, field avg 8)3 straight top-3 finishesBest career win rate in field (1 in 8)
Pennine Way is the market's second choice (3.8) and sits just 3lbs below the top-rated King Cherry on the weights, with a recent third-place finish at Wolverhampton suggesting upward momentum at the right time. The horse has shown progressive form without a win yet, making her genuinely competitive here, though dry ground and a low draw (2) are neutral factors.
Superstorm is winless from 13 career races and carries the lowest weight (125lbs), yet has shown recent consistency with a fourth at Yarmouth just 23 days ago — he's in the mix at Class 6 level but simply hasn't found a way to break through. The ratings indicate he's well below par for this contest (50 against a field average of 53).
Arvana Belle carries the joint-lowest weight (121lbs) and has a win on her record with honest placing form, but a critical weakness emerges: zero wins from three attempts on good-to-firm ground like today, which directly contradicts her chances here. She's competitive at 7.0 odds but the ground profile is a genuine barrier.
Wearing tongue strapQuick turnaroundWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
King Cherry is the top-rated horse here but comes back just two days after finishing seventh at this same track — an alarming turnaround that raises serious questions about fitness and readiness. With zero wins from five races and a drifting price (9.4 from 1.1), the market has already priced in the risk: he looks vulnerable despite the higher rating.
Solar Phoenix hasn't raced in 55 days and has never run on dry ground like today — a significant concern on unfamiliar conditions after a long absence. With zero wins from four outings and a tenth-place finish at Bath last time out, this horse arrives cold and untested in these circumstances.
Snow Day is the lowest-rated runner (45, some 8lbs below average), has never raced on dry ground, and comes off a 38-day layoff with zero wins from five career races — the recent form (6-8-14-12-10) shows only mid-pack and rear finishes with no indication of improvement. At 31.0 odds, she's a clear outsider.
Lowest rated, 7lbs below averageNever raced on dry ground
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.