Bath

Matches Ten Club's top rating of 55 and boasts the best record at this distance with 2 wins from 7 races, giving her a genuine claim on the race. However, she hasn't won in 14 months and her last three runs show patchy form—a narrow second at Lingfield aside, she's been well beaten. The odds drift from 1.1 to 5.5 suggests the market has doubts.

Joint top-rated at 55 but a massive 40-point drift in odds from 1.03 to 42.0 tells the real story—he's completely out of form and was pulled up last time out at Chepstow 48 days ago. His one strength is an excellent record on good ground (1 win from 4), but three recent runs have all been poor, and he's yet to win at this course.

The most experienced horse here with 87 races under his belt, but also the lowest rated by 5 pounds and boasts just 3 wins across his entire career—a 3% win rate. His only genuine strength is at Wolverhampton, not Bath, and he's never won on good ground, which rules out his preferred terrain today entirely.

The only horse in the field with a Bath course win (1 from 5 here), which gives him genuine appeal in a tight race. However, he's been beaten 8th in both his last two starts at Brighton and his career win rate is just 1 in 16 races—he offers course form but little else. Normal ground today rules out his strengths, too: he has no wins from 11 starts on standard ground.