Won 2 of last 5Won here 1 timeLoves this ground (33% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 3.55 has won at Bath before (just 81 days ago) and boasts her best record on today's ground at 33% win rate, plus she's ideally suited to the 1m3f–1m4f trip at 33%. However, her form has deteriorated recently with just one win in her last six races, and she's coming off a beaten 3rd yesterday—recency and ground suit her, but this is not vintage Belle Amie.
Best record on this ground (1 from 3)Market favourite (3.55)
After 111 days away, this 4-year-old is the longest-absent horse in the field and arrives with zero wins from seven career races—she's been placed twice but hasn't managed to convert that into a victory. Odds drift from 1.1 to 4.9 suggests the market has doubts, and her last three runs show declining form (3rd, 9th, 9th), making her a poor choice despite good draw position at 4.
Wearing tongue strapWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
The editorial favourite sits three pounds clear on ratings, though his 5% win rate from 22 races tells you he's a tough finisher—just one win in nearly two years. He's been placed in 2 of his last 3 races and handles standard ground well (10% win rate), but his record on good-to-firm ground is a real concern with zero wins from six attempts, which matters today.
Won at this course & distanceWon 1 of last 5Won here 2 timesWon at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
This is Bath's real course specialist: he's won here and knows the mile-and-a-quarter trip (2 wins from 3 starts at this distance), plus he's just won at Lingfield and strung together three straight top-3 finishes. His standout weakness is that he struggles badly on anything other than fast, dry ground, and today's standard conditions represent a significant risk to his chances.
Has won over this course and distanceBest record at this trip (2 from 3)3 straight top-3 finishes
Wearing blinkersWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 4 times
TrackLab Insight
This 7-year-old boasts the field's best win rate at roughly 1 in 6 races, but he's a ground-dependent horse—he thrives on fast, dry going (32% win rate on good-to-firm) and today's standard conditions are not his track. His poor record on good ground (zero wins from six attempts) plus a recent 5th at Windsor just 16 days ago suggests he won't fire today.
At 8 years old and 56 races deep, this horse's solitary win came nearly four-and-a-half years ago, making him the least credible runner in a modest field. He carries the lightest weight (123lbs) as compensation for his poor rating, but his 2% win rate and complete inability to win on good ground leave him with very little going for him today.
Lowest rated, 8lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in fieldMost experienced (56 runs, field avg 28)
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.