Tramore

After 587 days (nearly 19 months) away from racing, Spasiba is the biggest gamble in the field—a horse that won at Naas in November 2023 but pulled up next time and hasn't been seen since, making his fitness a complete unknown. Even if he's ready to run, he's never won on good ground and drops in class after what looks like a lengthy injury layoff.

The least experienced competitor here at 5 years old but also the only horse to combine a course win at this distance with the lowest weight in the field (18lbs below average), Miss Gitana is a genuine 33-1 longshot with form questions. She's also the only runner in the field who's never sampled most ground types, making her a wildcard if the ground changes—but her record is modest at roughly 1 win per 11 races.

This 10-year-old is the only course winner in the field at this exact distance and boasts the best win rate here at roughly 1 in 4—but his last three races tell a brutal story of decline, including a 25-length thumping at Galway just 19 days ago. He's genuinely well-suited to normal ground with two wins from six on this type, yet even that edge can't hide that he's running out of fuel in his twilight years.

A 7-year-old with 36 career races and only 3 wins (roughly 1 in 12), Zoffman has finished in the placings nearly half his career without breaking through—the definition of a horse that's close but not quite there. His last three races are shrouded in mystery (missing data), but his only weapon here is good-to-yielding ground form, which isn't relevant today.