Southwell
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Starts in
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Tapeta surface
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
TrackLab Insight
This horse has finished in the top three in almost 70% of its races, including second here at Southwell 69 days ago, so it clearly handles the track. However, Station X has never won on normal ground from four attempts, which mirrors the conditions today and is a significant worry. Plenty of placed form but repeatedly fails to convert — and the ground may work against it again.
2nd highest rated (OR 82)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The market has made this the joint favourite, and the reason is simple: Stanley Spencer has already won over this exact course and distance, which is the most relevant fact in the race. The most recent run was a second place here at Southwell just 28 days ago, so this horse arrives fresh, familiar with the track, and in form. The only other course winner in the field, and the blinkers should keep it focused.
Has won over this course and distance
Market favourite (3.75)
Trainer Quotes
Apr 2023
"It's nice to have another horse for Anthony Hogarth and his wife Val, who have been owners here before. The dam of this colt has three black-type winners from three foals - Trillium, Mohawk King and American Kestrel - and hopefully he can make it four from four. He's going well and should be ready to go next month. I'm looking to start him off over 5f. 19-04-23"
TrackLab Insight
The editorial verdict picks this one out as well-handicapped, but there is a real red flag in the data: Roberto Caro has never won on normal ground in three attempts, which is exactly what is on offer today at Southwell. The recent form is consistent — fourth and third in the last two runs — but this is the first time jockey and trainer have paired up, and the ground concern is genuine. Better on wet or muddy surfaces, which this is not.
2nd highest rated (OR 82)
Trainer Quotes
Aug 2025
"I think he can win a race or two before the end of the year as he's going the right way. He handles ease in the ground and stays well over a fast-run 6f, while a sharp 7f wouldn't bother him either. He's a bit of a stresshead who's hard on himself at home, but when he's on a going day he can be competitive. He looked unlucky at York two starts ago when he flew home on ground he didn't like. He's ready to start winning again and Ayr's big meeting could be in the pipeline for him. 07-08-25"
TrackLab Insight
The longest absence in the field — Peter The Wolf has not raced for 188 days, and the last run before that break was a 12th-place finish in a higher-class race at Newbury. Like several rivals, this horse has no wins on normal ground from three attempts, so conditions do not play to its strengths either. Too many unknowns after such a long time off.
Absent 188 days (longest in field)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Hard to make a case for this one right now — two heavy defeats in the last two runs, beaten over 10 lengths at Thirsk just 12 days ago. This horse has also never raced on normal ground before, adding another question mark, and its record on right-handed sharp tracks is a blank: no wins from five attempts. Thin claims here.
Never raced on normal ground
TrackLab Insight
This is the standout stat in the race: Alondra has the best record on normal ground of any horse in the field, winning 3 from 10 races on this surface — no rival comes close to that. Today's conditions at Southwell are exactly what this horse wants, and it arrives in reasonable shape after a third-place finish 13 days ago. Drawn in stall 3 with a light weight, it deserves serious consideration.
Best record on this ground (3 from 9)
TrackLab Insight
The best win rate in the field — roughly 1 in every 3 races — and a solid record at this trip make Alpha Magic look good on paper. The big concern is that this horse has never raced on normal ground before, so today is an unknown, and running again just one day after finishing fourth at Pontefract is unusual and worth noting. One to treat with caution until we see how it handles these conditions.
Never raced on normal ground
Best record at this trip (2 from 5)
Runs again after just 1 days
Best career win rate in field (1 in 3)
TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated horse in the field by some margin — 7lbs below the field average — and returning from a 116-day absence after finishing last at this very track. The last win came over two and a half years ago, and normal ground has produced no wins from five attempts. There is very little in the data to suggest this is a winning day.
Lowest rated, 7lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
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