Southwell
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Starts in
Awaiting result
Tapeta surface
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Super Value
TrackLab Insight
The market has made Nymphaea the favourite at 5/1, which is a puzzle given that this horse has never won in ten career races. That said, a second-place finish at this very course 48 days ago — beaten just half a length — shows it can perform here, and the rating sits right in the middle of this field. The jockey is riding this horse for the first time, which adds a small unknown, but the course form is the most compelling argument in its favour.
Market favourite (5.0)
Trainer Quotes
Mar 2026
"She's a half-sister to Nemean Lion. She's rated below 50 on the Flat but was third last time at Newcastle. She's well handicapped and I think she's about to click into gear. Then she's going to go for mares' novice hurdles. She has a really enthusiastic bunch of owners, so it would be really great if she could go out and win. 04-03-26"
TrackLab Insight
Yakhabar is one of the few course winners in this field, and that Southwell win came just 47 days ago — making this horse the most obvious danger based on proven form at this track. The editorial verdict backs this view, pointing to that easy win as the benchmark and suggesting a big chance if that form returns. The only question mark is a fourth-place finish here 25 days ago, so the switch back to this course is no guarantee — but the course form and jockey-trainer combination (two wins from just two races together) make this the one to beat.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
TrackLab Insight
Lawmans Blis carries the lowest weight in the field, which in theory is an advantage in a race like this, but the record at Southwell tells its own story: zero wins from six attempts here. The recent form is uninspiring — sixth, eighth, and fifth in the last three outings — and the trainer and jockey are working together for the first time, which adds uncertainty. With 51 career races behind it and five wins, this horse knows how to race, but the evidence at this track specifically is discouraging.
Lowest rated, 4lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Six races in and yet to win or even finish in the places — Bronte Beach is the least experienced horse in the field and the form figures (a string of 7s and 8s) show a horse finishing well down the field every time out. The odds drifted sharply from what appeared to be a placeholder price, suggesting the market has little faith here. Honest assessment: the data gives you nothing to work with in her favour.
Relatively inexperienced (6 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Angelardo runs again just five days after a fourth-place finish at this very track — and crucially, this horse has the best record in the field on today's normal surface, winning once from five attempts on it. The recent form is encouraging: a win at Newcastle followed by a solid run back here last week suggests the horse is in a good place right now. Returning quickly to the same course and conditions where it ran well is a positive angle.
Best record on this ground (1 from 5)
Runs again after just 5 days
TrackLab Insight
Hiccups hasn't raced in over seven months — the longest absence of any runner that has actually run recently — which is a significant concern regardless of what the form book says. Before that break, the form was genuinely solid: a win, a second, and a fourth in three consecutive races. But it has never won on today's type of surface in three tries, and returning from that length of time off makes this a risky proposition even for optimists.
Best record at this trip (1 from 3)
TrackLab Insight
Thirty-five races and not a single win — Fiftyshadesaresdev has the worst winning record of any horse in this field alongside Bronte Beach, and the recent form of two consecutive seventh-place finishes at Southwell and Wolverhampton offers little encouragement. The data also shows it has never won at this track in seven attempts, which compounds the concern. Hard to make a positive case on the numbers available.
Winless from 35 career races
TrackLab Insight
At 11 years old, Cogital is the oldest horse in the field by some distance, but don't let that fool you — this is a horse that wins roughly 1 in every 8 races and has placed in nearly half its career outings. The concern is a glaring one: all four of those wins came on good ground, and today's normal conditions at Southwell on tapeta surface represent a type it has never won on in three attempts. A second-place finish at Chepstow recently keeps it honest, but the ground profile is a real obstacle.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 8)
Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
TrackLab Insight
Star Of Jupiter returns from a four-month break with a record of one win from 17 races, and that sole victory came on today's type of surface — winning from nine attempts on normal conditions gives it an 11% win rate on this ground, which is actually the best conversion rate in its profile. The recent form before the break was a series of mid-field finishes, so nothing flashy, but the surface match and the low weight carried are modest positives to cling to.
Mid-range in the market (12.0)
TrackLab Insight
Parikarma is a nine-year-old with five career wins and a decent overall record, but there is one number that stands out: zero wins from ten races on today's normal surface conditions. Every single one of those wins has come on different ground, making this a notable mismatch between the horse's preferred conditions and what it faces today. The recent form — two eighth-place finishes and a fifth — doesn't do much to argue against that concern.
One of the more successful in the field (5 career wins)
TrackLab Insight
Prince Abu has been off the track for over ten months — the longest absence in the field — which makes this a real shot in the dark, regardless of what came before. What came before is genuinely interesting though: three wins at Southwell from 22 races here makes this a genuine course specialist, and those wins came on a surface type (normal to slow) close to today's conditions. The question is whether nearly a year off has left this nine-year-old too much ground to make up on its return.
Has won over this course and distance
Absent 318 days (longest in field)
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The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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