Won at this course & distanceWearing blinkersWon 0 of last 5Won here 3 timesHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The standout here is straightforward: this is the only horse in the field with a course record at Roscommon, winning 3 from 5 times here (60%), and he's also won over this exact course and distance. At nine years old with 47 races under his belt, Earls knows what he's doing at this track, but recent form reads as struggling—two seconds and a third in his last three, none of them wins.
Only course winner (3 from 5 here)Has won over this course and distanceBest record at this trip (3 from 9)Most experienced (47 runs, field avg 17)
The editorial pick comes with genuine merit: just one win from six races overall, but crucially, 1 win from 3 on good ground (33%)—the conditions here—and a recent victory at Fairyhouse just 41 days ago. Still only three years old with room to improve, he's the fitness advantage pick over the higher-rated rivals, though the high draw (18) mirrors Summer Island's problem.
Best record on this ground (1 from 3)Market favourite (5.5)
The market favourite at 5.5 with the best career win rate in the field—1 win from 5 races (20%)—and a recent victory at Navan just 38 days ago on good ground, exactly today's conditions. At three years old, he's relatively inexperienced but perfectly suited by this trip (7f-1m), making him the form selection despite being top-rated at 78.
Quick turnaroundWon 2 of last 5Loves this ground (29% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
Second-highest rated and genuinely suited by this trip—wins roughly 2 in 3 races over 7f-1m—with excellent form on both good and standard ground, matching today's conditions perfectly. Fresh off a recent win at The Curragh 53 days ago, this 4-year-old has the pedigree and form to run a bold race, though the high draw (17) puts him at a disadvantage given the course's low-number bias.
Relatively inexperienced with just five career races and no wins to his name, though two placed finishes hint at some ability. A second-place finish at Gowran Park 11 days ago shows he's competitive at this level, but asking him to break his duck in a competitive 18-runner handicap is a tall order.
Just one win from seven races overall, and crucially, zero wins from 5 starts on good ground, which is exactly what he faces today. The recent pattern is concerning: after a near-miss second at Naas 27 days ago, he finished 10th just two weeks later, suggesting form is fragile rather than building.
Second-highest rated at 79 with a maiden win at The Curragh in April 2026 on soft ground, but that soft-ground strength becomes a liability today. Zero wins from 4 starts on good ground is a damaging record in these conditions, and the recent form (5th-3rd-12th) shows she's struggled since that breakthrough.
Wearing cheekpiecesFresh (65 days off)Won 1 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated by 3lbs with three straight top-3 finishes, but a major concern clouds this profile: zero wins from 8 starts on good ground or standard ground, the exact conditions here at Roscommon. The 65-day layoff after a poor 14th-place finish at Cork suggests he's been struggling, and while he won at Curragh 325 days ago, that form is stale by racing standards.
J. Pietropaolo(7)
·
P. F O'Donnell
· 9yo
· 9st 9lb
· OR 75
HeadgearForm
2.2
Wearing blinkersWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
A heavy-ground specialist with three wins from nine starts on soft/muddy ground, but a critical flaw blocks his chances today: zero wins from 9 starts on good ground, the conditions here. At nine years old with 40 races behind him, he's a course specialist at Listowel, not Roscommon, and the recent form (5th-4th-13th) shows no sparkle.
One of the more successful in the field (4 career wins)
Winless from six races with just two places to show for her effort, and the 35-day layoff before a 3rd-place finish at Killarney offers little encouragement. She's relatively inexperienced but hasn't improved enough in her limited outings to suggest a breakthrough is imminent here.
Wearing blinkersFresh (61 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Winless from six races with a 61-day absence before a 10th-place finish at Leopardstown, making her among the least likely here. The profile is thin and the recent form is poor, offering no genuine reason to support her chances in this company.
Carries the lowest weight in the field at 126lbs, a real advantage in a handicap, and three consecutive top-3 finishes earlier in her campaign hint at ability. However, she's winless from nine races, recently crashed to 12th at Galway 22 days ago, and remains a maiden at three years old—the weight relief may matter, but form is fragile.
Carries lowest weight in field3 straight top-3 finishes
Just one win from 16 races (a 6% win rate) and a glaring vulnerability: zero wins from 8 starts on good ground, today's conditions. At 21 days since his last race, an 8th-place finish at Galway, there's nothing in his profile to suggest he'll break through in a competitive field.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Has won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
A seven-year-old with five career wins, but his last success came at Dundalk on 17 January 2025—nearly two years ago—and he's now winless in his last six runs. The recent Galway effort (13th, beaten 11.2L) was particularly poor, and standard ground is his only strength here, which won't be enough to turn this form around.
Eleven races without a win, though four placings suggest he belongs in the conversation at mid-level. However, recent form is brutal—10th at Leopardstown 40 days ago, sandwiched around a narrow 2nd at Limerick—and the pattern reads as a horse trying hard but not quite delivering.
Wearing cheekpiecesFresh (79 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
A cautionary tale: 36 races with 14 placings but only 1 win (a 3% win rate), meaning he specialises in being close without winning. A 79-day layoff before a 2nd-place finish at Listowel offers stale form, and the reserve jockey status adds another layer of uncertainty to his chances here.
Two wins from 12 races (17%) with a clear strength: 29% win rate over 1m1f-1m2f, but today's 8f trip is outside his ideal range and likely explains why he hasn't won recently. The 7th and 12th finishes at Galway 19-21 days ago were particularly poor, suggesting he's struggling even at tracks where he might be expected to compete.
Wearing visorWon 0 of last 5Has won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Lowest-rated at 69, 6lbs below field average, with just three wins from 29 races (10% win rate), but those victories came at genuine top level—Class 2 at Chester and Class 1 at Doncaster in 2021. Current form is dire: consecutive 8th-place finishes at Naas 15-27 days ago suggest he's a shadow of that 2021 self and holds little appeal here.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.