Redcar

Racing again after just five days — the quickest turnaround in the field — following a sixth-place finish at Thirsk, and the recent form of 6-6-7 gives little encouragement. He draws well in stall 1, which is in the favoured low-draw zone at Redcar, but his record on normal ground reads zero wins from four attempts.

Back-to-back seventh-place finishes and no win on normal ground from six attempts — the conditions today look against him based on the data. This is also the first time this jockey-trainer combination have raced together, which adds another unknown into the mix.

The most experienced horse in the field by a distance — 47 races compared to the field average of 20 — but experience has not translated into recent results, with back-to-back sixth-place finishes and no win on normal ground from eight attempts. All four of his career wins have come on artificial surfaces at Southwell, which makes today's turf at Redcar look like the wrong setting entirely.

Eight races in and still searching for a first win or even a top-three finish — Palmarian is the least experienced horse in the field and the form figures make difficult reading, with the last three runs producing finishes of 7th, 7th and 10th. Both jockey and trainer have drawn a blank in the past two weeks, and there is little here to suggest a turnaround is imminent.

Nine races in without a win, and a distant 11th last time out at Doncaster is the most recent evidence — not the form of a horse about to turn things around. This is also the first time this jockey and trainer have worked together, which rarely helps when a horse is already struggling for confidence.