Won at this course & distanceWon 2 of last 5Won here 2 timesWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The standout horse in this field by some distance — rated 11lbs above the average runner and the only horse here to have won twice at this exact course. He won a Class 2 race at Newmarket last September over this same trip, and with the best win rate in the field (wins roughly 1 in 2 races), he arrives as the one all others have to beat. Drawing stall 1 is a bonus too, given low draws perform best at this track over 7f.
Top rated by 11lbsCourse specialist (2 wins from 5 here)Best career win rate in field (1 in 2)
Stepping up in classJockey in form (9 wins in 14 days)Won 1 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at the time of writing, despite being rated 6lbs below the field average — his popularity rests on consistently finishing in the top three, with six of his last six runs all ending in a place. The big concern is that he has never won on normal or fast ground in five attempts, which is exactly what he faces today at Newmarket.
Drops 2 classes from usual levelJockey in best form (9 from 39 last 2wk)Market favourite (3.65)
Wearing cheekpiecesFresh (203 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
A well-travelled six-year-old with 32 races under his belt but only 3 wins to show for it — a win rate of roughly 1 in 11. He hasn't raced for nearly seven months and, crucially, has never won on today's normal ground despite nine attempts, which makes it hard to make a strong case for him here.
One of the more successful in the field (3 career wins)
Fresh (570 days off)Won 1 of last 5Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The longest absentee in the field by a wide margin — Shah hasn't run in roughly 18 months, which makes him very hard to trust regardless of his talent. What he showed before that break was genuinely exciting: four races, never worse than second, including a win, giving him a win rate of 1 in 4. The question is simply whether that form still means anything after such a long layoff.
Never raced on normal groundBest record at this trip (1 from 3)Absent 570 days (longest in field)
Trainer Quotes
Apr 2025
"He holds a pretty high level of form from last summer. He's had a good winter break and his mark would typically get him into the Britannia already. We're not going to rush him and I think he wants fast ground, so Ascot could suit him well. 07-04-25"
Won at this course & distanceWon 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Leadman does have a win at this course on his record, but it came via disqualification of another horse rather than crossing the line first — and his recent form of two eighth-place finishes makes it hard to get excited. With a career win rate of just 1 in 20, he is one of the least convincing horses in the field on paper.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
Trainer Quotes
Apr 2025
"New to us from Andrew Balding's, we bought him as a maiden and haven't run him, but he's still won a race since. It was a disqualification, so he's no longer a maiden. He's got ability but might have a soft temperament. 14-04-25"
Won at this course & distanceFresh (216 days off)Won 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeLoves this ground (33% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
This horse has been off the track for around six months, which is a real concern, and her last three runs were all finishes well down the field. Her best form came on normal ground — she wins roughly 1 in 3 races in those conditions — but she has never won on fast ground and today's conditions will test that weakness.
This horse has never raced before — a complete unknown stepping into a competitive field, which is a significant ask at any level. The trainer David O'Meara has been in excellent form recently, winning roughly 1 in 5 races over the past two weeks, but without a single race to judge this horse on, punters are essentially guessing.
Racecourse debutTrainer in best form (9 from 49 last 2wk)
Quick turnaroundWon 1 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this groundWon at this distance 6 times
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field by a long way — 46 races compared to a field average of 18 — and he races again just five days after his last run, which is a quick turnaround. He is also the lowest-rated horse here, sitting 10lbs below the field average, and has never won on a galloping track like Newmarket in five attempts, which is a tough combination to look past.
Lowest rated, 9lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in fieldMost experienced (46 runs, field avg 18)Runs again after just 5 days
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.