Newcastle

Making his racecourse debut today, so there is absolutely nothing in the form book to guide us — every question about this horse is still unanswered. His sire Cotai Glory was a top-level sprint winner known for producing fast, early-developing horses, which at least gives the pedigree some relevance for a five-furlong race like this. At 21-1, the market isn't writing him off entirely, but first-timers always carry plenty of risk.

The oldest horse in the field at five years old, yet still winless after two attempts — finishing sixth and seventh in races run over a fortnight apart. That form reads poorly against horses like Zain Primus who have already broken their duck, and the odds drifting out to 126-1 tells its own story about confidence from those closest to her.

Finished ninth in both career races, including once at this very course, and the odds of 151-1 reflect the lack of encouragement in that record. The most recent run saw her beaten nearly 23 lengths at Southwell, which makes finding reasons to be optimistic very difficult. Honest assessment: the data gives very little to work with here.