Kelso
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2000 Sacks Of Carrots Handicap Hurdle (Div I)
Starts in
Awaiting result
Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Both of this horse's career wins have come at Carlisle, making it almost entirely course-dependent — and Kelso is not Carlisle. The last run was a distant 14th, which makes back-to-back third-place finishes at Carlisle feel like a distant memory. With a trainer who has drawn a blank in ten races over the past fortnight, the conditions here don't obviously suit.
One of the more successful in the field (2 career wins)
Trainer Quotes
Oct 2024
"She's been hard to get settled at home but the penny really started to drop at the back end of last season and she was second at Cartmel. She's a bold front-running mare who wears her heart on her sleeve and she could be one for the Lady Buttons Go North Final. If she settles she'll get 2m4f. She runs on Thursday at Carlisle. 16-10-24"
TrackLab Insight
Carries the best win rate in this field and actually won at Kelso just weeks ago, so course form is firmly on its side. The concern is a pulled-up finish last time out and a poor record on this type of normal ground, winning none of its three races on it. At 5.5, the market respects that recent Kelso win, but the jockey has only managed one winner from eleven rides in the last fortnight.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 6)
Jockey in best form (1 from 11 last 2wk)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
This horse has finished in the top three six times from eleven races and has never once won — arguably the most frustrating record in the field. Two consecutive runner-up finishes at Fakenham and Market Rasen show the form is there, but something keeps preventing the breakthrough. Until it actually wins, backing it means trusting a horse that consistently finds one too good.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
TrackLab Insight
The editorial pick, and the Kelso credentials are real — this horse won here and ran fourth here just 16 days ago, so it clearly handles the track. The editorial also notes that the 2m 5f trip should suit, making this a rare combination of course form, distance fit, and recency. The trainer has had a winner in the last fortnight, and at 6-1, the market is at least showing some respect.
Trainer in best form (1 from 11 last 2wk)
Trainer Quotes
Nov 2024
"All is good with him. He was entered at Newcastle on Friday but I didn't want to take a chance on fast ground as most of the family seem to prefer it a bit softer. There's a juvenile bumper at Wetherby on the first Saturday in December and he might well appear there. He's done a lot of jumping and it's not impossible he could go straight over hurdles for the National Hunt three-year-old hurdler series. I don't know if he's another Elvis Mail in the making but Ginger Mail wasn't either and he's progressed to a mark of 126. The family improves and I'd love to think this chap could be the same. He's got a bit of speed about him but he's quite weak. I won't be overracing him this season. 21-11-24"
TrackLab Insight
The market has made this the favourite on the back of a win at Newcastle 53 days ago — its first win in 17 career races. However, it has never won on normal ground in seven attempts, which is a direct concern for today. It also has a poor record on left-handed tracks, and Kelso is left-handed.
Market favourite (5.1)
TrackLab Insight
Rated 16 points below the field average — the lowest-rated horse in the race by some margin — and has never won in eleven career attempts. Four placed finishes show some ability, but the last run ended in an unseated rider at Newcastle. Carrying the lightest weight helps, but the class gap between this horse and the top of the field is significant.
Lowest rated, 15lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
TrackLab Insight
Drifted wildly in the market to 29-1 despite carrying one of the higher weights, which tells its own story. The horse has pulled up in two of its last three races and has never won on either normal or soft ground. With a jockey-trainer combination yet to win together in eight attempts, there is very little here to inspire confidence.
Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field with 23 races, and has actually won twice on this type of normal ground — the best such record here. The major red flag is a 263-day absence since last racing, which is a long time to come back fresh into a competitive race. Jockey and trainer are working together for the first time, which adds another layer of uncertainty.
Best record on this ground (2 from 9)
Most experienced (23 runs, field avg 13)
TrackLab Insight
Seven years old with just one win from 21 races — roughly 1 in every 20 outings — and the recent form shows an eighth and a sixth in the last two runs. The horse has never won on normal ground and has never won on a right-handed sharp track, which is worth noting given Kelso's layout. Hard to make a case for this one.
One of the more successful in the field (1 career wins)
TrackLab Insight
Nine races, zero wins, zero places — the most barren record in this entire field. This horse is also returning from a 351-day absence, the longest layoff of any runner here, and its last run ended with an unseated rider. There is almost nothing in the data to suggest a positive outcome.
Absent 351 days (longest in field)
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The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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