Kelso

The youngest horse in the field at six and has only managed 1 win from 10 races, so he has plenty to prove against more proven rivals. His last two runs were poor — beaten 24 lengths and then nearly 40 lengths — and he hasn't raced here at Kelso before, making him a big unknown in this company. The jockey is highlighted as being in the best form of any rider here, but that's a thin positive to hang your hat on.

Like Kilmore Rock, this horse won at Kelso 16 days ago, making them the only two course winners in the field — and they're both back here straight away. He carries the lowest official rating of those who've won recently, sitting 6lbs below the field average, which means the weights are stacked slightly against him. His record on anything other than normal conditions is poor, but today's ground suits and he's clearly in form.

The second-highest rated horse in the field and has run here at Kelso twice recently, finishing second on both occasions — so he clearly knows his way around this track. The problem is he has never won in 8 career races, making him the horse most likely to finish a close second again. If you're looking for a winner, that zero-wins record is hard to ignore.

By far the most experienced horse here with 51 career races — more than double the rest of the field combined — but her recent form makes grim reading: four finishes of 4th, 4th, 7th, and 7th in her last four outings, all beaten well. She carries the lightest weight in the race, which gives a small advantage, and her trainer has had 2 wins from 28 races in the last two weeks, suggesting the yard is in decent shape. At 9 years old and rated 10lbs below the field average, she'd need a career-best effort to win.