Won at this course & distanceWearing tongue strapWon 1 of last 5Won here 2 timesLoves this ground (29% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
The race favourite, and for good reason — he won here at Hexham just ten days ago, and both of his career wins have come at this course, making him the standout course specialist in the field. He also has his best ground record on today's conditions, winning roughly 1 in 3 times on slightly soft ground. The editorial verdict picks him as the one to beat, and at the lowest weight of any realistic contender, he arrives here in the best form of his life.
Course specialist (2 wins from 6 here)Best record on this ground (2 from 7)Market favourite (1.99)
Won at this course & distanceFresh (66 days off)Won 2 of last 5Won here 2 timesHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The editorial verdict names him second-best in the race, and his record at this trip is hard to ignore — two wins from just three races over the distance, which is the best conversion rate in the field at 1m6f-2m. He won here at Hexham less than seven months ago, so he knows the track. The concern is a 66-day absence and a jockey-trainer combination yet to find the winner's enclosure together in 28 attempts.
Won at this course & distanceFresh (159 days off)Won 0 of last 5Won here 2 timesWon at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
He has won twice at Hexham from six races here, making him one of two course specialists in the field — but that's where the good news ends for now. He hasn't raced in over five months, and his most recent run was a distant ninth. He also has no wins from five races on soft ground, which is a significant red flag given today's slightly wet conditions.
Course specialist (2 wins from 6 here)Absent 159 days (longest in field)
Won at this course & distanceWearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
A nine-year-old with five career wins who has finished in the money in more than half his races — that's a solid record of reliability. He handles slightly soft ground well, winning roughly 1 in 3 times on it, but there's a real concern here: Hexham is a left-handed galloping track, and he has never won on that type of course in 11 attempts. His odds drifting sharply from near-favouritism to 8.5 tells its own story.
One of the more successful in the field (5 career wins)
Trainer Quotes
Nov 2022
"He was a pleasing second at Ayr on his hurdles debut, beaten a neck by the Gordon Elliott-trained Nonbinding, and on that run he looks sure to win a novice hurdle in the north. He's probably a horse for two or two and a half miles. 09-11-22"
Wearing hoodWon 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
On paper he has the best career win rate in the field — roughly 1 in every 5 races — and he won a Class 2 race as recently as March, which is a higher level of competition than today's field. However, he has never won on soft ground in five attempts and has never won on a left-handed galloping track in six tries, and Hexham is exactly that. This is his first time with this jockey, too.
Wearing hoodFresh (110 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
At 11 years old, Chumlee is the oldest horse in the race and also the lowest-rated, sitting 12lbs below the field average — that's a significant gap in class terms. He fell last time out over three months ago, and he has never won on soft ground in seven attempts. His only career win came on heavy ground, which is wetter than today's conditions, so the form book offers little encouragement here.
Lowest rated, 12lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in field
The longest odds in the field at 81-1, and the data doesn't argue against that price. He has just one career win from 14 races, his recent form includes a fall and a pulled-up, and he has never won on soft ground in six attempts. Today's slightly wet conditions look to work against him.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.