Wearing hoodJockey in form (1 wins in 14 days)Trainer in formWon 0 of last 5Loves this ground (33% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 4.0, and the editorial's nap — Dan Skelton's yard back him to bounce back after finishing 12th at Cheltenham last time. This is only his 10th race overall, making him one of the least experienced horses in this 17-runner field, and he hasn't won in his last six races. But the Skelton team rarely pick races like this without a reason, and the jockey-trainer partnership has an extraordinary record of over 500 winners together.
Market favourite (4.0)
Trainer Quotes
Feb 2026
"He's a good horse who'll be making his debut for us, having joined us just after Christmas. He's had a bit of a chequered career but he'll go there super-fresh and his handicap mark doesn't look beyond him, although this will be a big ask. 17-02-26"
Won at this course & distanceWearing tongue strapWon 2 of last 5Won here 1 timeLoves this ground (57% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
The best career win rate in the entire field at roughly 1 in 3, and he has won over this exact course and distance — including a win at Haydock just 35 days ago. His record at this trip is three wins from five races, which makes him look tailor-made for today. The one concern is that he has never won on anything other than normal ground, and his record on softer conditions is a blank.
Has won over this course and distanceBest record at this trip (3 from 5)Best career win rate in field (1 in 3)
Trainer Quotes
Nov 2024
"He ran well in the Newbury sales bumper before winning at Plumpton. He's schooling nicely and is one to look out for. 14-11-24"
Won at this course & distanceWearing hoodWon 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The only horse in the field with a win over this exact course and distance, which is a meaningful advantage in a race like this. The editorial picks him out alongside the favourite, and his record at this trip is solid. The concern is that his last three runs have all been mid-pack finishes, so he needs to find a gear he hasn't shown recently.
Won 0 of last 5Raced here beforeLoves this ground (25% win rate)Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
A horse who finished second at Newbury just seven weeks ago but then unseated his rider at Plumpton last month — so his recent form is a mixed picture. He has won at this sort of level before, at Sandown in 2024, but his record on normal ground reads zero wins from seven attempts, which makes today's conditions a real stumbling block. Hard to fancy at 18s with that stat against him.
Among the more experienced (18 career races)
Trainer Quotes
Oct 2025
"He ran a nice race on his reappearance when he made his chasing debut at Warwick last season but the wheels fell off a bit in the middle of the campaign. He finished the season well, though, with a good run back over hurdles at Chepstow and then a fine race to finish second in the Swinton Hurdle at Haydock. Alan is training him for the Greatwood Hurdle at Cheltenham on November 16 to start with and we'll probably get him back over fences at some stage. 22-10-25"
Oct 2024
"He's an exciting horse. He won a good novice handicap hurdle at Sandown on the last day of last season and we're sending him chasing. He's had a good summer and has been schooling well. With his current mark, he'll probably start in a novice handicap and we'll see where he goes. We'll keep him to two miles for the moment. 25-10-24"
Stepping up in classFresh (98 days off)Trainer in formWon 3 of last 5Loves this ground (25% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
Carries the lightest weight in the field, which is a built-in advantage in a race where every pound matters. She won a top-level race at Musselburgh earlier this year and ran a close second at Sandown recently, so the form is there — but she has been absent for 98 days, the longest break of any runner here. Whether she comes back as sharp as she left is the key question.
Carries lowest weight in fieldDrops 2 classes from usual levelAbsent 98 days (longest in field)
Trainer Quotes
Feb 2026
"A decent horse on the Flat, she's won her last two for us, including in Listed company at Musselburgh, and has improved run by run. I'm really happy with her progression and it would be nice to get her in the race. 17-02-26"
Aug 2025
"She just arrived here from Ireland because the owners thought there were more opportunities in Britain. She made her debut for us at Salisbury and was a creditable second in a 1m2f handicap. But I'm still feeling my way with her and see no downside in running her again this week in the £50,000 maiden at Goodwood on Saturday. She's an exciting addition. 20-08-25"
Won 2 of last 5Loves this ground (62% win rate)Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
This is the standout ground specialist in the field — five wins from eight races on normal ground is a remarkable record, and today's conditions play right into his hands. He won at Plumpton just over a month ago and is in the kind of form that makes him dangerous, even stepping up in class. The worry is that he has never won on anything softer, so if the ground changes, he's a different proposition.
The top-rated horse in this field by 4lbs, which gives him a clear edge on official ratings — but there's a catch. He has never raced on normal ground before, so nobody really knows how he handles today's conditions. Odds drifting out from 17s to 21s suggests the market has noticed that uncertainty.
Stepping up in classWon 2 of last 5Won at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
One of the big movers in the market, shortening from 34s all the way into 22s, which suggests some confidence behind the scenes. He drops three classes from the level he has been running at, which gives him a significant advantage on paper. The catch is he has never raced on normal ground before, so today is a step into the unknown for him.
Drops 3 classes from usual levelNever raced on normal ground
Won 2 of last 5Has won on this groundWon at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
A five-year-old with four wins from 15 races who has been running at the top level recently, including a ninth at Aintree last month. His last three runs have been a pull-up, a fifth and a ninth, so form is going the wrong way. There's not enough encouragement in his recent efforts to fancy him in a competitive 17-runner field.
Wearing cheekpiecesTrainer in formWon 1 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
One of the youngest in the field at five years old, he ran a solid third at Musselburgh just 13 days ago, which shows he comes into this fresh and in decent shape. His trainer is the standout form angle here — James Owen has sent out five winners from 24 runners in the last two weeks, which is an excellent hit rate. The jockey-trainer partnership has yet to win together from four attempts, but with the yard firing, that could change.
Wearing visorTrainer in formWon 1 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
A 10-year-old who just won at Sandown 14 days ago, which shows he is in the form of his life right now. However, he has raced 15 times on left-handed tracks like Haydock and has never won on one — that is a glaring stat that is hard to ignore. The market has drifted him from 19s to 32s, and that particular record explains why.
Trainer in formWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this groundWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
A 34s outsider who finished sixth at this very course 35 days ago, so he has recent Haydock experience — just not a positive experience of it. He's also meeting his jockey for the first time today, which adds another unknown. His best form on good-to-soft ground doesn't apply today, and the market drift from 23s reflects that.
Stepping up in classWearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated horse in the field, 12lbs below the average rating, which is a big gap to bridge in a competitive race like this. He also drops two classes today, so conditions are kinder than he's used to, but his record on normal ground is zero wins from four attempts. A consistent placer rather than a likely winner here.
Lowest rated, 11lbs below averageDrops 2 classes from usual level
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 1 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
A nine-year-old veteran who ran at this very course just five weeks ago, finishing third, which at least tells you he handles Haydock. His win rate is just 1 in every 6 or 7 races, and he has never won on normal ground in six attempts. The market has drifted him out to 38s, and it's hard to argue with that.
Stepping up in classWearing tongue strapWon 0 of last 5Loves this ground (43% win rate)Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Five wins from 16 races is a good career record, but Moon Chime's last six runs read 4-9-6-3-9-6 — he hasn't been anywhere near his best for some time. At 55s in the market, having drifted sharply from 34s, punters are clearly not tempted. It's hard to make a case for him based on what he's shown lately.
Fresh (63 days off)Won 1 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
A nine-year-old at 51s with a pulled-up finish last time out — there's not much in the data to encourage a bet here. He hasn't shown his best form for a while, and his record on normal ground is zero wins from three attempts. Honest enough over a career, but this looks a tough ask.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.