The clear market favourite and the editorial pick for this race, Endless Talking comes in off a third-place finish at Kilbeggan two weeks ago where the editorial verdict notes he ran into trouble — meaning the performance may have been better than the result suggests. The jockey-trainer partnership of Keith Donoghue and Gavin Cromwell has clicked over 161 times together, which is serious firepower in a field full of inexperienced horses. Wearing a hood today, and clearly the one to beat.
Just one race to go on — a fourth-place finish at Navan 48 days ago — and no experience at all on today's slightly soft ground. That said, Flying Ace is trained by Gordon Elliott, whose yard has fired in four winners from their last 50 runners, suggesting the stable is in decent nick. One to watch with fresh eyes, but the bare form is thin.
Never raced on slightly soft groundLightly raced (1 career races)
By far the most experienced horse in the field with 14 races — the average runner here has just four — and that experience shows in back-to-back second-place finishes at Dundalk, both beaten by little more than a length. The big question is whether she can finally convert that consistency into a win; six placed finishes and still no victory is a pattern that is hard to ignore. At 8.4, she is a genuine alternative to the favourite.
Coming back after a break of nearly six months, Rare Times has two runs to her name — a fifth and a seventh — and no experience on slightly soft ground. The layoff is a significant concern, and there is no form here to suggest she can make an immediate impact in a field this size. One for another day, perhaps.
Never raced on slightly soft groundLightly raced (2 career races)
Two races in, two finishing positions outside the places — seventh and fifth — and no experience at all on today's slightly soft ground. Dancing Fruits is still very much a horse finding its feet, and this field of 18 does not make life easier. Hard to make a case for it at 41.0.
Never raced on slightly soft groundLightly raced (2 career races)
One race, one 10th-place finish at Cork — that is the sum total of what Mirfaq has shown so far. Like stablemate Endless Talking, this horse is trained by Gavin Cromwell, but today's race looks set up for the yard's more fancied runner. Never raced on slightly soft ground before, and the single run gives precious little to go on.
Never raced on slightly soft groundLightly raced (1 career races)
One race, a seventh-place finish at Navan — that is the complete picture for Shanliss Tricks. The five-year-old runs in a hood today and has no experience on slightly soft ground, so there are unknowns to factor in. The trainer has a strong record with this jockey — four wins from just 11 races together — which is at least one reason to pay attention.
Never raced on slightly soft groundLightly raced (1 career races)
One race, a fifth-place finish at Punchestown — not a disaster, but not much of a springboard either. Betty's Glen carries the lightest weight in the field at 145lbs, which gives a small advantage, and she has yet to race on slightly soft ground so today's conditions are an unknown. Very early days for this four-year-old.
Never raced on slightly soft groundLightly raced (1 career races)
Six races and still waiting for a first win or even a placed finish — Dorie Miller's recent run of 12th at Fairyhouse, beaten over 76 lengths, is the kind of form that is difficult to look past. The fourth-place finish earlier in the season offered a glimmer, but that looks a long way back now. Hard to see where the improvement comes from here.
Fresh (588 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
This horse has not raced in 588 days — by far the longest absence in the field — and returns with zero wins from 12 career races. At nine years old, that is a tough combination of factors to overcome. A new jockey on board for the first time today makes this a real puzzle, and it is hard to find a reason to be optimistic.
Back-to-back 13th-place finishes — both at Clonmel — tell you this is a horse that has not found its stride yet. Me Wee Nanny Fran has no experience on slightly soft ground and shares a trainer with the race favourite Endless Talking, which perhaps tells you where the yard's main hopes lie today. Hard to see this one reversing the trend.
Never raced on slightly soft groundLightly raced (2 career races)
A complete unknown stepping onto a racecourse for the very first time — there is literally no form to go on. In a field where most rivals have at least shown something, this horse arrives as a blank page. The breeding gives a little to chew on, but nobody truly knows what to expect today.
One race, one 13th-place finish beaten 53 lengths — that is the entire career record for Free Vango. The four-year-old has never raced on today's slightly soft ground and faces a field of 18, so conditions are not getting any easier. There is almost nothing here to build a case on.
Never raced on slightly soft groundLightly raced (1 career races)
Five races, no wins, no places, and a pulled-up run last time out at Thurles — the recent form makes for grim reading. Aboras Mahler has never raced on slightly soft ground and meets a highly regarded favourite today. Wearing a hood, but the evidence on offer does not suggest a turnaround is imminent.
Four races, no wins, no places, and a pulled-up run among the recent form figures — Layenda has not given supporters much encouragement. The five-year-old finished seventh last time, beaten over 77 lengths at Fairyhouse, which is a long way back in any company. At 151.0, the market is saying exactly what the form says.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.