Brighton

Foinix is the only course winner in this field and thrives at Brighton, winning 2 of his 11 races there — nearly double his career win rate — including a victory over this exact distance last August. He loves fast, dry ground (3 wins from 15 starts on good-to-firm), and while a 45-day layoff is notable, his recent third place here four weeks ago shows he's relevant at the track; the editorial tip carries weight.

Dream Of Ithaca is a three-year-old with zero wins from seven career races and carries the lowest weight (125lbs) in the field, but steps up two classes here — a significant ask for a horse that has never won or even placed. A 59-day absence and youth work against any realistic hopes, despite modest recent form showing some improvement in finishing positions.

This nine-year-old has a stubborn record of 4 wins from 46 races, but comes here with a significant problem: zero wins from 11 attempts on good-to-firm ground, which is exactly what the Brighton turf is offering today. Dogged's last two Brighton runs (a narrow second 46 days ago, then 6th just 30 days later) show promise, yet his awful record on fast ground makes him a risky proposition despite his willingness to compete.

Alex The Great is a veteran of 40 races but hasn't won in any of his last six outings, and crucially has zero wins from four attempts on good ground — exactly what he'll face today at Brighton. The odds have drifted dramatically from 1.1 to 17.0, and his recent Lingfield form (7th and 4th) offers little encouragement for a return to winning ways at this level.