Mr Eireann Cagney

That dip from 24% to 18% is worth watching but not worrying about. Win rates fluctuate, and the more telling number might be what Cagney does when conditions play into their hands. On normal ground, the record reads 5 wins from just 12 races — that's winning better than 2 in every 5, a remarkable conversion rate that points to a jockey who is genuinely at their best when the track rides fair and fast reactions matter most. When the ground is right, Cagney is clearly a different proposition.

Still only four years in, the broader picture is one of a career in progress. Twenty-eight winners is a foundation, not a finished house, and the ability to win at 42% in the right conditions hints there is more to come once the opportunities — and the ground — line up consistently.