Yarmouth
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Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 4.8 despite never having won a race in five attempts, which makes this an interesting betting puzzle — the crowd likes it but the form book offers no wins to point to. It has been placed twice and finished third most recently at Southwell, so it is clearly competitive without quite finding that extra gear. At the lowest-rated end of the field, it needs to beat several more experienced and higher-rated rivals to get off the mark here.
Market favourite (4.8)
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field by a long way — 49 races compared to a field average of 22 — and crucially the only one who has already won over this exact course and distance at Yarmouth. It also has the best career win rate in the field, winning roughly 1 in every 5 races, but there is a real red flag: it has never won on soft or slightly soft ground in six attempts.
Has won over this course and distance
Best record at this trip (4 from 18)
Most experienced (49 runs, field avg 22)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 5)
Trainer Quotes
Sep 2022
"He got the season off to a fantastic start by winning three races on the bounce, which saw his rating shoot up from 47 to 68. I then made the mistake of giving him time off to strengthen up and I haven't been happy with his last three runs. I expected a big show at Wolverhampton last time but he was mid-division. I've been happy with him at home of late and I think you'll see a different horse next time. 23-09-22"
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The second-highest rated horse in the field, but punters have been bailing out — odds drifted from near-evens to 6.5, which is a serious warning sign. That poor run at Thirsk last time out is the blip the race preview says to forgive, and this horse does win on slightly soft ground roughly 1 in 4 times. The big concern is that it has never won on a right-handed galloping track like Yarmouth in 10 attempts.
2nd highest rated (OR 70)
TrackLab Insight
Named as best of the rest in the race preview, and the ground conditions play right into its hands — it wins roughly 1 in every 2-3 races when the ground is soft, the best record in the field in those conditions. It also has two wins from five visits to Yarmouth, making it one of the more course-savvy runners here. The worry is a heavy defeat last time out at Nottingham, finishing 9th and beaten nearly 10 lengths.
Course specialist (2 wins from 5 here)
Best record on this ground (1 from 5)
TrackLab Insight
Two wins from 28 races tells an honest story about a horse that finds winning hard — that is roughly 1 in every 14 outings. It has never won on a left-handed galloping track like Yarmouth in 13 attempts, which is a significant blot on its record for this specific race. Recent form shows a string of mid-field finishes and a brutal 29-length defeat at Newcastle, so it arrives here with little momentum.
Outsider at 10.0
Trainer Quotes
Sep 2022
"He's one I own myself and looks a sure-fire winner judged on his second run when third over 7f at Kempton against smart opposition. He was fifth at Kempton on Friday when we stepped him up to a mile. He's for sale and has an exciting future. 23-09-22"
TrackLab Insight
Five races, zero wins, zero placed finishes — this horse is yet to appear in the prize money at all. At 15.0, the market agrees it faces a tough task, and it is the joint-lowest rated alongside Jack Sparowe at OR 61, a full 4lbs below the field average. There is a trace of slow improvement through the form figures, but this looks a step too far.
Outsider at 15.0
TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated horse in the field, 7lbs below average, and hasn't raced for 128 days — the longest absence of any runner here. It carries the lightest weight, which is a small advantage, but four races with no wins and no places, and form that has been going the wrong way, makes this a very difficult ride for a first-time jockey-trainer combination. The unknown of slightly soft ground only adds to the uncertainty.
Lowest rated, 7lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
Never raced on slightly soft ground
Absent 128 days (longest in field)
Your pick
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Odds
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Win (they finish 1st)
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Your bet
£5
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How do odds work?
The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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