Won at this course & distanceWearing visorQuick turnaroundWon 0 of last 5Won here 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Al Muqdad is one of only two course winners in the field and has won roughly one in every 3.6 races at this Class 5 level, a genuinely strong win rate. However, recent form has drifted — three runs without a win — and the jockey-trainer combination has never clicked (0 wins from 16 races together), which is a concern despite the odds shortening from 1.01 to 5.1.
Won at this course & distanceWon 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeLoves this ground (50% win rate)Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Gunfighter arrives fresh off a win 26 days ago and wins half the time on standard ground — by far the best win rate on this surface in the field. But the draw is low (draw 3), which historically favours winners here, and he's proven hopeless on faster ground, so normal conditions are essential for him to fire.
Market favourite (4.2)
Trainer Quotes
Aug 2023
"This colt was extremely well bought at the Deauville breeze-up and after some encouraging work he made a lovely start at Newbury when third to Sketch over 6f. I think that was a nice race and he came out of it well. I sent him to Salisbury last week for his second run and he ran very well for a long way before tiring in the final furlong. He's better than that and will be winning sooner rather than later. 17-08-23"
Won 0 of last 5Loves this ground (67% win rate)Won at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
Angels' Share has the best career win rate in the field at roughly 1 in 5 races, and she wins two-thirds of the time on standard ground (2 from 3) over this exact distance — by far the most compelling recent form. Recent runs have been poor, but the conditions suit her perfectly and the jockey-trainer pairing has won 7 races together, a real team.
Best record on this ground (2 from 3)Best record at this trip (2 from 5)Best career win rate in field (1 in 5)
The editorial selection comes in as favourite on the figures but form has collapsed: a 7th place at Newmarket just 13 days ago was beaten over 15 lengths, and his win rate of roughly 1 in 9 races doesn't suggest a reliable operator. The market drift from 1.01 to 9.0 reflects genuine doubts.
Won 0 of last 5Won here 2 timesHas won on this groundWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Kit Gabriel is the other course winner with two victories at Wolverhampton, yet last time out here (24 days ago) he finished 6th beaten 4.5 lengths — a concerning blip on what should be his track. At seven years old he's the oldest runner and has found just three wins from 42 races, so he needs everything to fall right.
Merry is lightly raced with just three career outings and has yet to win, but the trend is moving in the right direction: 3rd, 4th, then 5th in her most recent run shows she's learning. A long absence (92 days) raises questions about match fitness, but at this modest level she could be developing into something useful.
Ballybunion has finished in the top three half the time (2 places from 4 races) without yet managing a win, which suggests the ability is there but something keeps getting in the way. This is his first try on normal ground, and he hasn't raced in 84 days, making this a big unknown.
Won at this course & distanceWearing hoodWon 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeLoves this ground (25% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
Espanita carries the second-lowest weight and has a respectable 25% win rate on standard ground from four attempts here, but her recent form is weak: 6th at Wolverhampton 25 days ago, then a shocking 9th at Carlisle three weeks before that. At eight races with just one win, she's not a reliable operator.
Quick Quasar is relatively inexperienced at just seven races and his sole win came at Kempton in March, but he's now 0 from 4 on standard ground — a major red flag for this race. The trainer Archie Watson is hugely experienced, but current form (7th and 9th recently) suggests this young horse has gone backwards.
Piazza has never raced on normal ground despite six career runs, which makes this a complete unknown despite her impressive consistency — she's finished in the top four in every race. Zero wins from six races and recent form (7th at Epsom, 5th at Kempton) suggests she's not quite competitive at this level yet.
Uniter has been absent for 121 days (longest in the field) and hasn't shown a win from eight races, with two of his last three runs being a pull-up and 7th place. The long layoff and patchy record make this one of the weakest runners on show.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.