Wearing tongue strapWon 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Set The Tone just won at Wexford 15 days ago—the only horse in this field with a course win this season—breaking through at the 18th attempt. She was second at Limerick before that and has an excellent record on good ground (1 win from 7 starts, 14%), but winning back-to-back races at 6.2 odds after a lifetime of waiting is a tall order; form horses rarely repeat this quickly.
K. Healy(7)
·
S. Cavanagh
· 5yo
· 11st 11lb
· OR 97
FormTrack
13
Good Value
Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Clone Cross has the form to matter—second at Kilbeggan just 14 days ago, third at Bellewstown before that—but he's never won in eight tries and has pulled up at least once. The jockey-trainer combo has one win from seven races together, modest odds at 7.0, and a real chance if that second-place effort at Kilbeggan is the real animal, not a false dawn.
Strong Contender is relatively inexperienced at six career races with zero wins and just one place, and recent form shows a downward trend: 8th at Ballinrobe, 7th at Kilbeggan, then 13th-13th. At 8.0 odds she's overpriced for a horse still learning the game at this class level.
Charlie's Dilemma is the editorial pick and second-highest rated at OR 99, but there's a problem: he's never won in 15 career races and has only just returned to Wexford where he ran fifth 15 days ago. His last six runs show two fourths and two eighths—flaky mid-field form that suggests he's a place horse in a race screaming for a winner.
Gerrys Wish is the market favourite at 6.0 and was second at Wexford 15 days ago beaten just 2.2 lengths—but she's still winless from 12 races and has the Gordon Elliott-Jack Kennedy combination firing at 355 wins from 1782 races together. She looks the likeliest to break through but hasn't yet, and pulling up at Cartmel 42 days ago raises durability questions over the marathon 3-mile trip.
M. J P Berry(7)
·
J. A Berry
· 9yo
· 10st 0lb
· OR 72
C&DForm
9.5
Good Value
Won at this course & distanceWon 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this groundWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Cruisin Susan is the most experienced horse in the field (37 races) and carries the lowest weight at 140lbs, with three wins and the only course-and-distance win in the field—real advantages. She was third at Wexford 15 days ago beaten just 3 lengths and has an excellent record on good ground (2 wins from 11 starts, 18%), making her a genuine live outsider at 10.0 odds despite being 14lbs below the field average rating.
Carries lowest weight in fieldHas won over this course and distanceMost experienced (37 runs, field avg 15)
Glendine Billy is winless from 15 races with only two places to his name, hasn't raced in 35 days, and finished eighth at this very track on his last outing. At 13.0 odds he's just another losing proposition—a horse that's been competitive enough to feature but never quite good enough to win, and recent form (8th, 9th) offers no hope of that changing.
Wearing blinkersWon 1 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Clever Court only just broke through for his first win at Bellewstown on July 4th, then finished seventh at Wexford 15 days ago—suggesting that breakthrough wasn't a sign of improvement but a one-off. At 12.0 odds he's no value after returning to losing ways, and an excellent record on good ground (1 from 5 starts, 20%) isn't enough to overcome recent form.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Matter Of Opinion finished seventh at Wexford 15 days ago—same race, same day as Charlie's Dilemma—and has zero wins from 14 races with just two places to show for his effort. At 21.0 odds he's drifting further away, and recent form (7th, 9th, 7th) suggests this isn't the race to turn it around.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 1 of last 5Loves this ground (33% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
Mobile Mamma has the best win rate in the field at one win from eight races (12.5%)—exactly 1 in 8—and an excellent record on good ground (1 from 3 starts, 33%). She was second at Killarney just 21 days ago beaten 5 lengths, which is strong recent form, and looks the one most likely to strike at a fair price of 12.0.
Best record on this ground (1 from 3)Best career win rate in field (1 in 8)
Wearing tongue strapFresh (63 days off)Won 1 of last 5Has won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Mister Vic is unfancied at 34.0 odds despite being rated 100—the same rating as Fair Damsel—but the market sees something the ratings don't: a horse with just one win from 14 races whose recent form reads poorly (13th, then 8th in his last two). He does have a decent record on good ground (1 win from 7 starts), so conditions suit him, but he's been largely ineffective away from that surface and hasn't raced in 63 days.
Wearing tongue strapWon 1 of last 5Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Joe's Turn is a 10-year-old who has two wins from 19 races and a standout record at this trip (1 win from 4 starts), but he's winless on good ground from five attempts and hasn't raced well recently (6th at Sligo 26 days ago, 8th before that). The form is too weak and the ground too firm for a horse who needs softer, yielding conditions to be effective.
S. Fitzsimons(7)
·
J. C McConnell
· 11yo
· 11st 6lb
· OR 92
HeadgearForm
1.5
Wearing visorWon 1 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Tango Theatre is 11 years old, has raced 24 times, and only just got her first win in August 2025—a remarkable story of persistence, but at 34.0 odds she's unloved for good reason. She's winless on good-to-yielding, soft, and yielding ground, struggles on tight right-handed tracks, and recently finished eighth at Sligo 26 days ago; this is a machine winding down, not one ready to win again.
Fervida is the least experienced in the field with only eight career races but offers no encouragement: zero wins, zero places, with recent finishes reading 9th, pulled up, 9th again. She unseated at Wexford 15 days ago and is clearly well below the standard required for this race at 51.0 odds.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Has won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Sineads Fancy is the joint-lowest rated at OR 72, 14lbs below average, winless from 21 races except for a single victory at Downpatrick, and unridden (Reserve 2). Recent form reads 7th-7th with a third place in between, and she's winless on good-to-yielding, yielding, and soft ground—making conditions a real problem for a horse rated this low.
Wearing tongue strapFresh (86 days off)Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
The Cobblers Wife is winless from nine races with a single place, hasn't raced in 86 days, and is unridden (Reserve 3). Her most recent outing was a pull-up at Punchestown, and this is clearly a horse being kept alive in the hope she improves rather than any real prospect—at 29.0 odds the market has it right.
Fair Damsel is rated OR 96 with two career wins from 24 races, putting her among the more successful in the field, but recent form is poor: 10th at Roscommon 32 days ago, 5th at Wexford 83 days ago, 12th before that. At 19.0 odds and unridden (Reserve 1), she's drifting for good reason—she struggles on good ground (0 from 4) and her last three outings show a horse falling away.
One of the more successful in the field (2 career wins)
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.